Dear Sea_Change,
1. I guess you will be surprised to know that all my present 4 properties ( including the 5th in progress) are in the same Anchorage Estate at the Rockingham Coastal suburb. I have also deliberately applied the principle of "concentration" to speed up the wealth creation process as opposed to the usual "diversification" principle of spreading out our investing risks.
2. To me, the Rockingham coastal suburb is presently performing exceptionally well and "atypically" ahead of the general property cycle trend in the Perth property market with more than 25%pa. annual capital growth reported consistently over the last 3 years and with an equally consistent 5 years average annual growth rate of more than 15.%p.a.... Yes, you are right to say that the land prices have more than doubled over the last 2 years.
3. Its coastal suburb' spectacular performance is being specificially driven by the A$1.5 billion new Perth-Rockingham-Mandurah Railway project, extension of the Kwinana Freeway down to Baldivis area as well as 5 x new (rarely approved) highrise beachfront apartment projects located directly at the waterfront Rockingham Beach Road, new Mangles Bay Marina Project, the new Rockingham Urban Village Project. This is especially so with the WA State Govt concentrating on developing its "South-Western Growth Corridor" over this decade period.
4. Having said this, I am also likely to exit out some of my properties in 2007, after the full completion of the new Perth-Mandurah Railway Line Project, as previously planned. This is to diversify my long term investing risks in the near future.
5. Why still invest in the Anchorage Estate now? With vacant land getting scarcer in supply for this Rockingham coastal suburb, and with its land prices still at its present affordable price range (as compared to similar vacant land plots selling at twice its present price in its Northern Growth Corridor area) and with its non-waterfront land selling at much higher in the resale market, I still find that there is still good investing opportunities there to "trade" in land sales/resales in the short-medium term at this point in time.
6. However, at the same time, I also recognise that adopting the same "buy-and-Build" developing strategy may not be as profitable as before, with all these recent huge land price and building costs increases over the last 2 years.
7. Yes, you are right to say that the Perth property market will soon one day be no longer so profitable for us to continue to invest in eventually... So when the time comes, I will next consider the present bottoming out Melbourne property market and as I have said before, I am likely to enter this market in 2006 and subsequently also to consider re-entering the Goldcoast property market some time in 2008-2009 period.
8. In the mean-time, I will comfortably sit back and allow my Perth properties to grow at its own steam confidently and safely in the present rising market situation as assessed by the Herron Todd White Valuers.
9. Having said all these, I will also conclude here by saying that like you, I am not so optimistic for the rest of the WA property market, especially those in the regional towns areas as I am personally confident of this same Anchorage Estate at Rockingham. I am still watching and monitoring these markets at the side-lines, for my own self-education sake.
10. For your kind update and further discussion, please.
11. Thank you.
regards,
Kenneth KOH