The ABS statistic of 2.6 that you're using is what was the case last year. Lizzie & others (inc me) are saying that this year a high proportion of 1 occupant dwellings will be built - they will not house 2.6 people each.It's 2.6 and not an assumption, it's an ABS statistic.lizzie said:i also feel that your assumption of 2.8 people per dwelling is overstated considering the recent increase in single person dwellings, smaller families and the elderly staying in their homes for longer.
This has been the trend for several years, and consequently densities are decreasing.
I see the exact opposite ..... people are overcrowded & are forced to move into caravan parks - they'd much rather live in a house.People living in caravan parks would add to my argument that there is an oversupply as it draws people out of normal residential homes...at least that's how I see it?
I disagree ...... the trend in densities is continuing down. Can you amend your spreadsheet to reflect that, instead of sticking with a constant 2.6 which is the current average.All the changes in household density are taken into account with average household size...it's varied between 2.5-2.8 over the last 20 years, not enough to make a large change to results.