Bump Toowoomba Thread
I am "bumping " this thread in order to make a few comments about Toowoomba. Not about student accomm.Just normal resi; in the lower to median price area.
1. I think vacancy rate is between 2 and 3% in T so if your property is clean and the rental price is ok, there should be no problem renting it out.
2. I have had rental property in Toowoomba for the last 12 years and have never had a vacancy longer than 2 weeks.
3. Typical average
gross rental returns in T are about 5.5% ; which is a bit better than a lot of cities/towns now.
4. Rents are rising but in a more modest fashion than some places.
e.g. I rented out a 3 bedroom big pre ww2 chamfer soon after I bought it in March 06. The rent then was $220 per week. I have since increased it by $5 per week on a yearly basis. So now I get $230 per week gross for the place. This is for a place that cost me $205 k to buy in March 06. 5.43% on the current value. 5.83% on the purchase price ; gross.
I believe this is reasonable rental return by current standards.
Capital gain on this same place is yet untested as I haven't sold it, but my local research tells me that it is now worth $220k. In 18 months.
Factors affecting capital gain in Toowoomba in 08 and 09.
1.
It WILL rain again and when it does rain properly , the dams will fill and everyone will have a spring in their step once again. Already we have had useful falls. This will be a huge boost by itself to confidence around the town.
2. Uni cutbacks will have an effect, especially for south western suburbs. But this will be pretty short term. After all there are 100,000 people living in Toowoomba and they are not all dependant on the uni. We are no longer a single industry town like we were years ago.
3. I think there is the start of a general expectation in T that price may start to move up again, after a flat period since 05. And as we all seem to agree on, a lot of the impetus for increased prices comes the expectation of same. Look at Brisbane right now. And things like this ARE contagious.
4. Also Toowoomba is at the convergence of highways and there is a huge freight transit centre being built at Charlton, 10 minutes west in readiness for Everald Comptons new railway line and also in conjunction with the second range crossing.
Note that these 2 items are years away yet. Definitely buy and hold strategists only here.
5. Let's think about Toowoomba's proximity to Brisvegas, and what is happening to prices there.
Brisbane and Ipswich and even Gatton and Laidley prices are moving. Now there is a 4 lane highway ALL the way to Brisbane from Toowoomba, it only takes One and a half hours to get to CBD Brisbane.(if Bris traffic is co-operative)
I also heard last week there is a giant sized jail going in near Gatton (30 minutes away between T and Brisbane. Apparently it will need 1800 workers just to run the place, so I am guessing they will mostly have families. Gatton has about 8,000 people in it as we speak. Sorry I have no reference for this info but someone may have heard and could confirm....
But the biggest factor in looking at future capital gains will be the current affordibility I think.
Median Prices Houses
reference -The Chronicle Property Week Dec 8th 07.(Local paper APN )
Toowoomba $255,000
Brisbane $405,000
Mackay $380,000
Cairns $335,000
Townsville $330,000
Surely this factor alone will soon mean that more investors come to town. Eventually that means the price will go up to be closer to other comparable locations.
My comments are limited to stand alone houses 3 br or more on 600 or larger blocks, and in the price range between 200 and 270k.
(Sub 200k places are now a dying breed.)
I would like to get other views on these declarations, especially negative thoughts from people who know the town.
Anyone?
Giddo - resident of Toowoomba -19 years