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I know I'm going back a way quoting this but I just had a thought on this. Prolly why the majority of fund managers dont beat the S&P is because they index themselves against it, all their stocks are in the index, and they have costs. So it would make sense if they failed on average to outperform.

Yeah yeah, but I think I put the wrong emphasis on my statement. I'm not saying you have to predict the future, I'm saying that other things about the asset classes are prolly more important than performance. Such as greater liquidity in shares (quicker exit in front of disaster), or greater...

Agree, but the point I'm making is that at any point in the cycle the important question will be 'which asset class would I profit from most?', rather than 'which asset class will perform better?' during the next period.

Personally I dont care whether shares or property performs better. For me it's more important to know whether Property Investors or Share Investors perform better. It's not just about the asset class, it's about a whole lot more, leverage, tax, control of the asset, reliability of...