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I don't really purchase by trying to pick the bust times, but rather what I consider is good value for money at any time. You're right though, there is just as much chance of anything I buy dropping in value due to a down turn, but then so will other properties in that area. Sorry, my...

And what happens if you get it wrong? I would also be working out those calculations as a worst case scenario vs best case scenario to see what the potential gain is compared to what could go wrong. Is it really worth a lot of buy/sell churn if your risk is $50k/$100k/bankruptcy? Can you make...