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  1. I

    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    Good post Winston Wolf. And this post is for 'moderates' not gold bugs or doom/gloomers. It hightlights a very relevent risk (but doesnt mean it will come true, only a risk). And i strongly suggest paying attention to Bill Gross, he is a moderate, and he is very smart. Again this doesn't...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    Fundamental value is based on intrinsic value. For property this is much harder to determine. Market value is based on buyer/seller psychology ie sentiment which can move prices above/below fundamental value. I dont like to invest based on market value due to the risk of change in investor...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    I see alot of risk, with fundamental return being limited (remember i own apartments not houses, so i have very limited land value). And i mention fundamental return, i cannot predict what the market will do, i can only look at it from a fundamental view point. I also have to consider the...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    Well there is good and bad for you Blue Card. On the positive a ton of starts should be good for your business. So grab that money whilst you can. In regards to the WA residential market i am nervous of commentating. Why am i nervous: because at the end of the day, China WILL need our...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    Both you and Winston Wolf are correct, except you are highlighting the positives and Winston the negatives. Thats the trouble with statistics, you can manipulate them to achieve your argument. Its funny im not a trader, but i do take on a traders mindset when looking at these sought of...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    And look at the quarterly results comming out of the US profit season. Beautiful sets of numbers, at least from the perspective of reinforcing my belief about the capitalist system in operation. How will this effect equities going forward? The key is always expectations against actual...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    I am not suggesting things will be smooth sailing. Again its about probability/risk/financial consequences. For all the bashing of the US$ give me an alternative currency. And no, no gold, no commodity index etc etc, these things cannot function like cash in the current world (do any of you...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    Interesting way of looking at it, and i think you are presenting some good views. However i would 'opinionate' that a depression is more extreme version of yours. To highlight a practicle example look at Victoria during the early 1990's. We were in a severe economic recession. But it wasnt...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    actually there was an interesting article about this. Basically so long as the US is the country of last reserve (and it still is, give me an alternative, and gold is not the answer) US sovereign debt CANNOT go into default. The central bank can 'inflate' away the debt. And they have done...
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    US Depression postoned; not prevented

    Another doom & gloom person trying to get the chance at the spot light. Mark my words: the US will have another depression? i am 100% right.......... but when???????? On a more serious note, the US is extremely unlikely to experience a depression in the next few years. A double dip...
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