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I agree on both points. Although I wouldnt say the Chinese economy is in real trouble just yet but surely wobbly. It's more that monetary policy in China has favoured equity prices especially their stock market. This is causing overvalued shares. I think a lot of share investors there willvtake...

Point 2- generally yes, assuming there is no 'un-natural' US Fed programs such as QE programs which increase supply of the greenback and thus dilutes its value. Point 3- not applicable to all currencies but a lot , yes, as the greenback is still seen as a bellweather, safe haven, reserve...

Strong correlation between aud: usd. If the fed raises rates, assuming rba keeps.steady, the aud will drop significantly. Converse is also ttrue. Guessing game as to when such and such might happen. I think sportsbet.com is taking punts on these things... In my overly not so humble opinion...