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Then maybe fix for a shorter term say two to three years rather than five and optimise your position when they're on the way down. If you want the certainty (it's like insurance) fix for longer. Who knows who is right? We may see 10 % or so for the next three years, maybe more, and maybe not...

Hi Blue Card, amongst the more pessimistic of the forecatsers that I've recently read are BIS Shrapnell. They tip another 0.5 % this year and possibly in one hit around Sept or so. Then sideways into 2009 and rate falls thereafter. To an investor this may present excellent buying...