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The FHOG is very important however to keep prices moving up, because there always needs to be new buyers entering the market. If they need to wait too long to get into the market, then the market itself can stagnate while wages catch up with prices. Tim

How about in January 2010 when the FHOG drops to $7k for any purchase and it is far harder to come up with a deposit? Tim

Michael, * The current massive under-supply of houses. This happened in UK and supposedly US too, but the undersupply if it really exists in Australia wont prevent house price falls as this clearly did not prevent them in the UK * The lag before new property can come online. The lag...

I would say that we will begin to get growth in property by around 2014...that will be 11 years from the previous peak, which was a massive boom. I say begin to get growth because the growth we are seeing now is just catching up on price declines that occured during 2008. I see way too...