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  1. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Shadow, around 40% of 'permanent migrants' are unskilled, and not all of the skilled migrant population make more than Australians. Your third reference refers to 'temporary' working visas. Most of the higher wages they earn leaves Australia, because these workers are temporary. That hurts...
  2. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    so why can't Australia do financial and legal services as well as Luxembourg and Lichtenstein? You mean companies.....and what's wrong with a company decreasing taxes? Socialists like Hawke and Keating encouraged Australian companies to be globally competitive, and dropped tariffs to encourage...
  3. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    I don't think you are a snob BV, I think you are just trying to create a bit of heaven on earth......and every other country has the freedom to do the same, by getting an education, exercising restraint over base impulses, not overpopulating, and applying themselves systematically to producing...
  4. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    I think the misunderstanding re population growth, especially fast periods based moreso on foreign migration, is that GNI per migrant has to be not just a little bit higher, but a huge bit. Why? because rapid popn growth requires seriously expensive new infrastructure. In many cases, existing...
  5. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Economies heavily based in domestic services, like Australia, rely on population growth to stop GNI going negative. It's unsustainable and hides seriously flawed fundamentals. Your leaders realize this, and aren't about to trim population growth dramatically, no matter how bad the lag in...
  6. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    How about South Korea's GNI vs population growth.
  7. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Nice charts Shadow. I like the middle one. Where'd you get it? I made something similar a while back. And those who think ever higher population will improve our lot should consider the trend in rnndi per capita. Our population growth is a drag on real disposable income growth.
  8. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Further, consider the chart below, and ask yourself are the trend lines of both plots sustainable.
  9. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Not so. Don't forget that the number of homes has increased also and that the %s I mentioned are annual growth rates, which compound the difference over multiple years. Well, let's do a rough estimate to compare 1980:2008 gni versus housing stock value. GNI 2008 727 B 1980 132 B = 5.51x...
  10. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    IV, I think you are right to try and understand the down and upside. A wise investor told me to look at the big picture first, over the long term, then work your way down to the micro level and smaller time frames. Applying this to property, I said earlier to compare gross national income...
  11. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Graem, the cognitive biases regarding property growth will be unmasked by plotting the value of Australia's total dwelling stock against Gross National Income over the last few decades. edit: Keep in mind also, that much of Australia's productivity is tied up in housing construction. Michael...
  12. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    actually, I meant to say minimal risk IBTD, not 'minimal risk free' :o yes Ianinvestor, interest bearing term deposit.....sorry, being over 50, I thought ibtd was a widely known acronym. yeah we have some funds in the offset for that property until we're clear on the reno options (the...
  13. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Actually, I had forgotten how much higher Brazil's rates are over ours, and their return on bonds = 11.27% vs Australia's 4.63% for the one year. Sovereign risk must be at an all time low considering the demand for their commodities, and the chart below could be fairly interpreted as...
  14. W

    RBA just put rates up again to 4.25%

    Cool, the minimal risk free bank IBTD rate should go up to 6.25%.
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