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But those 'lost' votes to the Greens, would always find themselves back to the ALP in a 2PP voting system

I could never understand that logic though. The Greens were never going to support the LNP or align themselves with them post the 2010 election negotiations. There was no need for the ALP to promise that to get them onboard, unless they thought it was good policy.

Kristina Keneally has just said on Sky News that Gillard should defer, mitigate / reduce the impact of the Carbon tax as the issue is the one thing that Abbott can effectively undermine the government on. The tweets between Anne Summers (past Keating political advisor) & Kristine K after her...

So if the ALP are in the same electorial position with regards to polls 6-9 months out from the next election, do they change leader, or go to the gallows with JG?

Whilst Gillard knifed an incumbent PM, changed tact on the mining tax, warned off Rudd to not pursue a carbon emissions plan. What's the difference? You can't make any change in public policy whilst being on the cross-benchers.

If the federal election is late 2013, the scenario placed above would in all likelihood take us into 2015 before the legislation is repealed.... Whilst unlikely, what happens if the US & Canada change their stance on emissions cap & trade scheme by 2015?