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Sorry to disappoint you that I measure my personal investment success on reality and not city wide medians.

Prices where I sold still around 10% lower + saving in rent vs mortgage over 3 years + appreciation in capital invested elsewhere. I've never said property crash (only used term for Melbourne alone) despite your accusations.

Gold was around the same price now as 12 months ago, so well done you called top of the bubble and the price has moved sideways... 20% is similar sized correction to others in the bullmarket, not even as bad as 2008. I sold my property end of 2009 & better off for it (not expecting 40%...

This will likely bring your average prediction record up to 85-95% wrong. Read into that what you want :D Do you base all your investment decisions on an 18 month period?

First time I've seen you admit it, good work (admitting you have a problem is the first step). Brings your avg up a little to around 82-92% wrong with predictions ;)

What's your point? I was wrong. Has Shadow admitted he was wrong about the construction boom in 2010/2011?

No. It was continued here: http://somersoft.com/forums/showthread.php?t=83578 Your response is disingenuous as the original thread was not started on the basis that we would see a recession by June 2012, but the possibility a slow down from the end of the commodity boom could lead to...

Touché, but then I'm not bumping that thread with data to suggest I've been right all along as appears is Shadow's goal here...

So a couple of years after the crash in construction (when you said we'd see a boom) we are finally returning to long term averages. Well done Shadow. You really called this one. Broken clock, twice a day, etc.

Most people that make extreme predictions (e.g. construction boom or 40% crash) get it wrong. A moderate outcome that lies somewhere between the extremes is usually what we see. lol, you mustn't have a very good memory (or have missed his many poor calls) if you think Shadow has a good track...

lol. Your track record with predictions is awful Shadow. You get 80-90% of them wrong. Seems a bit presumptuous to suggest that traction in the media will lead to something happening. The media (much like yourself) are often wrong and if anything a good contrarian indicator. Sydney...