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But back in post #101 you told us you were cashed up & waiting for opportunities..... ...so which is it ? Back in post #95 you told us .. which is it ? I believe PMs and especially an increasing gold price will be a precursor to a GFC-like event. When this occurs it will be the time to rebalance...

If more than a handful of extreme pessimists thought this, then wouldn't you expect the price of gold to have hit $10,000/oz by now ? As you will be aware it's been falling for a while :eek:. We all know that a collapse will come eventually..... you would be a really useful poster if you...

wiki disagrees with you. And promissory notes aren't the same as fractional reserve banking. So how do you see it playing out ? If we get hyper inflation, then do you think those who fled to cash will lose the most, and those the kept sensibly leveraged hard assets will win the most ? I...

Can you see the paradox ? You believing a journalist who says that journalists lie. Yes I do. Most here assess the risks, and mitigate the ones they choose to afford to. I disagree. You have chosen to move to 100% cash - you will lose in the event that 'the big one' doesn't happen and those of...

In that case you're v. lucky to have found this forum... you should learn how markets really work. There are many here who see the early signs in markets and are able to take advantage of them.... some of them have done this over many property cycles and are v. well off as a result. I...

I believe markets are more predictive than random internet posters ;). That's completely normal behaviour. I'll be taking advantage of that behaviour... and you ? Yep... completely normal.... well, except for the FED who last night said they're stopping QE3. I'll agree to some extent, but...

The problem with the commentators who DO see the crisis earlier is that they tend to predict the same D&G every year, and are as useful as a broken clock. Some websites are the same - I believe you can tell a lot about a poster based on the websites they quote. I agree. And regards timing of...

Excellent - then we agree there's less than 1% chance of it affecting us. Of course that could (& probably will) change at any time. I was actually asking about concrete steps, not generalities. Maybe shorting index futures, buying puts, drawing down LOCs, buying land East of Kalgoorlie...

Hmmm.... my question was 'What probability do you put on any of this affecting us investors here in Australia ?' Based on all available current information, my guess is < 1% at present. Although as you quite rightly say 'Impossible to know how this will play out.' What's your guess ...

Thanks for those references. What probability do you put on any of this affecting us investors here in Australia ? Is it 100% guaranteed, or minuscule (like the 200 incidents of loss or release of bioweapons agents from U.S. laboratories are reported each year from your referenced source) ?

I'm asking for your help to do this research. Perhaps you could give us links to these 'establishment sources & private research firms' ? You misunderstand. No-one is saying the is 0% chance of the above occurring. What people are saying is that the risk is either negligible, not relevant to...

Your posts this month have included warnings about Ebola, Nuclear catastrophe, Putin suggesting global collapse and now financial collapse. Can you give us links to these 'establishment sources & private research firms' ? Otherwise all you're doing is spreading unfounded FUD.

Of course 'the big one' is coming... that's a given. However, the 2nd half of your assertion is the real question. WHEN do you expect it to happen ? ...and will you make hay while the sun shines (like the rest of us) until that date ?