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I wouldn't assume that should be the case either. Rent increases by ~CPI, OTOH interest isn't affected by inflation. So in year 2 the rent vs buy costs are slightly closer, until (v roughly) by yr 10 they are equal..... and by yr 25 rent has inflated by 25 yrs of CPI vs $0 P&I, and the same...

I agree that some of the leading indicators are pointing in the right direction (after 18 months of pointing down). I feel we need to see more indicators relating to the economy & business conditions turning positive rather than just housing/finance related indicators. I'd expect that would...

Shadow, I'm with TC. Show us the evidence on the graph. I think if extended housing growth was as simple as seeing an uptick in finance commitments then we'd all be rich market timers. OTOH, housing has been trending up for most of the 34 years, so regardless of finance commitments there's...