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They will be likely to be repaying in deflated dollars..... the question will be Deflated by how much ? I think the two primary causes of the upturn you mention are probably valid. And they appear to have dug the global economy out of a hole in the short term. The synchronised global...

Anythings possible... there's always some bad news somewhere if you look hard enough. The Doomsday scenarios are always present..... it's only with hindsight that we know if they are significant. OTOH they do plant a seed of doubt and prevent many would-be investors from ever starting.

I'm with you there. However, I'd prefer to combine a good trend with good value.... I see good value & I'm starting to see signs of a turn in the trend. Agreed - I see the downtrend of the last 18 months bottoming, and a possible uptrend starting..... not enough to invest in houses yet, but...

The govt stimulus will probably affect some indicators - Car Sales tick up from low levels Housing Finance up - both OOs & especially investors House prices up slowly Building approvals up Private credit up GDP +ve Retail sales up 2 consecutive months - although probably mostly due to...

Which indicators (that are trending down or flat) are you watching & why ?

Sure... some of it is. Prevailing downtrend in what ? House price - nope, ASX - nope already turned, all the indicators in the 1st list - nope. Which prevailing downtrend ? Absolutely. Do you think the Govt/RBA would take the candy away before there was normal demand ? You misunderstand...

For the last 12-18 months virtually all the macro indicators have been pointing to a poor economy - the worst for at least 15 years... and if you believe the popular press, a Depression. However, in the last quarter some indicators have started to turn positive..... Car Sales tick up from...