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Hi missgreeneyes As DaveMSydney said, the leak most likely be from the plumbing (inside that wall). Notice how the bubble form a line down. The water may be from a loosen soldered-joint. The damage may be from the reno work. I uploaded a common pipe configuration inside that wall so you...

Look like the recent work did not stop the leak. I suspect the bubble paint is about 50-100mm from the floor. Perhaps in the right-corner of the shower (door looking in). let me know if this is the case. The second room; cut a hole 100x100 & 50mm of the ground, close to that pipe, and have a...