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There seems to be a lot of people thinking like that from the early 1970's up too yesterday ,or as my broker tells me each week,we do not know what we will know.. http://channel.nationalgeographic.com/channel/doomsday-preppers/episodes/you-said-it-was-non-lethal/

Maybe just do a bit of reading within the site there has been some that have been waiting from 2004,for the big 40% drop and that is another aspect of the problems with prediction the more media knowledge they have and do nothing with the data,may well decrease their ability to forecast anything..