Citizens Electoral Council leader Craig Isherwood today accused the Reserve Bank of trying to cover up the seriousness of the financial crisis facing Australia, and declared that Australia is well and truly in the fall-out zone of the global debt time bomb which is sitting in Europe, ticking down to a late June/early July explosion.
The CEC National Secretary detailed the state of play in the financial crisis hitting Europe:
• On 1st July, European banks have to repay the 442 billion euros they borrowed from the European Central Bank’s (ECB) exceptional financing facility, opened up for them one year ago. European Banks have been putting money aside to pay back what they borrowed, but nowhere near enough. Spanish banks such as Sabadell and Banesto have only 35 per cent of what’s required, and Germany’s Commerzbank only 32 per cent. According to Morgan Stanley, European banks have found 250 billion thus far, and still need another 150.
• The mechanics of the euro system are grinding to a halt. The sovereign debt crisis is pushing liquidity to places considered “safe”. Every night, banks of the eurozone deposit ever more funds at the ECB, even though the yield they get is only a miniscule 0.25 per cent, because they do not trust the solvency of any of the other private banks enough to lend to them. On Monday morning, 384 billion euros were on deposit at the ECB—an astonishing figure, since this was only a few billion euros per day before the 2008 financial crisis. The current volume is even far higher than the volume deposited the week after the Lehman default. At the same time, interbank lending is frozen. Saving banks are refusing to lend to commercial banks. Since May, writes Le Figaro, lending from European banks has simply stopped.
• Spain, the epicenter of the crisis, has a combined public and private debt of 1.5 trillion euros, 600 billion of which is due this year. The European Union, International Monetary Fund, and U.S. Treasury are frantically working to patch together the biggest bailout in history—US$300 billion—by today’s (18th June) EU summit in Brussels. They hope to avoid Spain having to tap into the US$1.1 trillion rescue fund set up by the EU following the Greek crisis last month; if Spain does, it is widely seen as the end of the euro system. One finance expert quoted in the 16th June London Telegraph said, “My view is that it would be suicidal for Madrid to use the rescue fund. The moment they pick up the phone and start talking about this, it is the end of any remaining hope for the single currency.”
Responding to the RBA’s claim on Tuesday that Australia’s banks will survive the rapidly-escalating eurozone crisis just as they survived the 2008 crisis triggered by the Lehman Brothers’ collapse, Mr Isherwood said, “That’s rubbish! If Rudd didn’t go guarantor for the banks when they begged him to in 2008, they all would have collapsed, and that’s the same scenario the banks face today.
“Remember, Australia has over $1.2 trillion in foreign debt, two-thirds of which is owed by our banks. Like in 2008, the collapse in interbank lending threatens to cut our banks off from the short-term funds they need to roll over their debts. At a certain point federal guarantees won’t be enough to stop their collapse, but will only succeed in bankrupting the government.”