You are absolutely right! People like the gloomers who posted above, seem to be so devoid of their own ideas, and so persistently negative about the future, that they immediately jump on anyone with a positive outlook and launch into character assassination mode. Or else they pedantically nitpick posts from years ago, taking small snippets of conversation out of context so they can say 'Ha - you were wrong about that!'
I don't claim to be right all the time. Like just about every economist and analyst out there, I state what I think might happen. Sometimes I get it right and sometimes I get it wrong. I've yet to meet anyone who can predict the future with 100% accuracy as the gloomers seem to expect me to do!
I have yet to see the gloomers actually address any of the points that I made in my Business Spectator articles. Instead they have resorted to mud flinging, nitpicking and silly comments like 'I could easily debunk everything Shadow says, but I can't be bothered'. This has been the response from the gloomers both here and on the other forum where Boz and Token Funder/Yossarian usually hang out.
Oh well, I guess they need something to keep themselves amused, and if nitpicking my old posts and preaching Doom and Gloom is what keeps them happy, then who am I to stand in their way.
Actually, if you check my posting rate, it's clear (at least in the context of property investing-related site), I spend most of my time here.
If you want to make predictions, postulate arguments and make lists, you should expect those predictions, arguments and lists to be challenged by those who think they are incorrect, particularly in the context of this forum where plenty of newbie investors pass by and can be influenced by overly optimistic views.
While overly negative views may discourage them and they might miss an opportunity, it is the overly optimistic newbies that people in the business I am in take properties away from.
You have made quite the effort (and accepted the praise) for your endeavours but, frankly, appear to lack the maturity or intellectual honesty to consider the implications of, or understand why, they lack utility.
It is for this reason that your "analytics" don't get better.
You don't learn appear to learn from your misses or understand the difference in assessing a situation on the basis of the balance of probabilities as distinct from what you would prefer to be true.
The only accurate prediction that I can find (happy to be corrected if there are others) was the early downward movement on rates and I think it would be instructive for you to note that it was a variable that supported your preferred outcome.
Ultimately, if you position yourself as an informed analyst of property economics you should man-up and cop the critiques when you get it wrong.
And, as I've said before, there is little value in nitpicking your various treatises because they haven't shown themselves to be useful. It's same reason I gave up debating creationists years ago.