Demographic economics - 2025 onward

http://www.hsdent.com/swiw.pdf

As some of you know, I find find Harry Dent's method of demographic economics quite interesting. The link above is to a series of charts depicting the anticipated 'peak spending' periods for many countries around the world. Australia's is on the last page, and show us flat through to about 2025, then a big surge, which will presumably drive our economy upwards.

Some questions, then:

1) How reasonable, realistic and reliable do we think this forecast is?
2) Assuming it is roughly correct, what can we do to take advantage of the information?
3) Does this alter our short term plans?
4) What other 'wild card' factors can cause this prediction to change?

Obviously no-one has a crystal ball, but this seems pretty interesting in terms of predicting overall trends.
 
Not really specifically related to the Harry Dent charts but saw some interesting statistics the other day:

The ABS report ‘ Retirement Intentions Australian Labour Market Statistics’ indicates the following:

* from 2012 to 2016 approximately 550,000 people intend to retire,
* from 2017 to 2021 approximately 480,500 people intend to retire
* from 2022 to 2026 approximately 340,900 people intend to retire.

In this period of time 1,371,400 people intend to retire. Assuming 10-15 years of reasonable health these 1.37m people may need aged care accommodation from 2022 onwards.

From 2022 onwards there will be a significant migration ( 1.37m ) of baby boomers from residential accommodation and retirement accommodation into aged care facilities.
http://www.australian-real-estate.n...using-supply-will-increase-significantly-and/

Provides some insight into where the opportunities might lie in housing after 2020, e.g. in aged care or smaller properties in areas popular for retirement.
 
it's the wind up to 2020 that has me worried.

this stagflation period i think is here to weed out the weak in preparation for something big.
 
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