There is no doubt with the benefit of hindsight the govt could have handled the introduction of NRAS better. There has never been any doubt that the NRAS incentive will be withdrawn, There was difficulty with
Everybobdy has their own particular likes and dislkies to investing in property and have particular views on things such as capital growth, homes v apartments, cashflow positive, negative gearing, cash on cash returns, gross yields etc etc.
All I know the NRAS product is fantastic in tassie becuase
Lowest capital city house prices in Australia
More capital growth than any other capital city in the past 10 years
Vacancy rates under 2%
Due to lower incomes a large % of Tassies population (significantly higher than the mainland)are eligble to be tenants of NRAS homes. This means there is a better pool of tenants to choose from.
When you factor this in with the 20% reduction in rent (if there are 2 identical houses for rent the NRAS will be rented first becuase its 20% cheaper for the tenant) and the 13 weeks the govt will pay NRAS subsisdy for if vacant there really is almost zero vacancy risk.
The homes are located in "normal suburbs", and noone could tell them apart from a standard homes becuase they are the same as a normal home.
In fact to be an approved NRAS home the specifications are significantly higher becuase in Tas there was no requirement to build 5 star energy rated homes(required as of 2010).
The challenge is trying to sort out the fact from the fiction. No one really knows what the capital growth rate is going to be for a particular area, yet significant amounts of property are marketed on projected capital growth rates to demsonstrate returns to the investor. This is done because the weekly rental returns to the investore are too large for most individuals to finance and therefore would not attract a positive sentiment from the public.
Fact
There is a housing shortgage
The population of Austrlaians over 65 is 13%
The population of Australians over 65 in 40 years will be 25%
The poulation of Tasmanians over the age of 65 is currently 15%
The population of Tasmanians over 65 in 20 years will be 25%
The additional costs to the health system and the loss of tax base (as a result of retirement) will ensure the govt has to maintain a immigration to enable Australia to maintain the high standard of living it enjoys.
While most of the increased population will continue to the more populated areas there is no doubt that the numbers will trickle into Tassie for all of the reasons above. ( Havent yet mentioned the quality of life , lack of traffic, second driest capital city in Aus) etc etc
If we ignore all the smoke and mirrors used to promote selling of investment properties such as capital growth (in Hobart 12.34% per year for 10 years), (in hobart gross yield 13%) or cash on cash return 80% etc and just focus on the following fact.
The govt is offering $100,000 tax free if we purchase a brand new investment home that we will agree to rent for 20% less than the market rent (which is typically $60 per week ). This reduction of rent further improves the negative gearing which improves the tax effectivness of the investment.
For these reasons alone purchasing an NRAS home in Tassie really is an outstanding opportunity.
Try the following link for capital growth rates
www.themercury.com.au/article/2010/02/09/126631_todays-news.html