Always Learning, those sound like harsh words - though I agree with them 100%.
Palm Cove is a great spot. Used to be a really nice restaurant there. I haven't been there for a while. The nearby Trinity Beach was my preference for a swim when I lived locally.
I bought an investment house in Cairns. Settlement was in December 1987. It was after taking my money out of the stock market in the last day or two of September, three weeks before the crash in October! $73,000 for a house that I tenanted in January at $160 week to the same tenants for over 10 years. Never put the rent up. Just after I bought the market went crazy and the place was apparently worth $140,000 within about 3 months, as I recall. And then interest rates went from something like 13% to 19.5%; in the days when investment rates were always a bit higher than for your own place. No problem for me as I had good rent and good income. The house was built in 1986 so had the 4% building depreciation. Negative geared with positive cashflow. It seemed like a wonderful investment.
Then there was the pilots' strike.
The whole Cairns market dropped for years. Ten years after the 1988 boom, prices had not recovered, I think. Has someone got some data on that? I think my place was worth about 120k in 1998.
News today (Thurs 30.7.03) of British Airways biggest three month loss ever - 73 million USD. Japan Airlines too doing it tough. Blaming SARS, and other things. Tourism is a fickle industry. Look what happened after Sept 2001 in NY. And last year's bombing in Bali. Cairns as I knew it, was heavily dependant on international tourism. It might be different now. I suspect the whole Cairns market has bigger cyclical swings than other places. It is not a big place for the number of visitors it receives.
I would not be buying a beachside unit off the plan with the aim of a capital gain. You might be very successful, and then again you might be waiting years for the next boom to just get even to cover costs. I'd go for a lower risk investment closer to home.
But, I'm out of touch with the current Cairns market. If you've done your research and are happy, then go for it.
All the best.