Hi there Rightvalue,
I remember meeting you at property investment gathering many years ago with members from this site. You have a wealth of experience and knowledge in this area.
The area is Tarneit.
Thanks
Thank you for the kind words.
Tarneit is an area I know all too well and the market there has not been pretty for a long time, even before the 2010 downturn.
I would suggest you get your lender to organise and off the plan / to be erected/as if complete valuation of the property now.
This will help crystalise where you are at in real terms rather than just speculation.
There are valuation firms that rubber stamp such purchases and you may be ok.
Not withstanding that you may get a rubber stamp valuation, it could be that the best option is to walk away from your deposit. I know it will hurt but it could be the cheapest option in the long run, especially if the market grows at less than 5% a year.
The downside is that the developer can go you for the difference between the resale price and the purchase price, less your deposit (you need to make up the shortfall).
However given that he has contributed to the fact you you could not settle due to selling the other units cheap and he will be better off with sale price plus your deposit than the other ones he recently sold, well he might not sue as it could work against him.
I still do a bit of work down there, although I gave up that area as part of my main patch a couple fo years ago.
You are not the only one in this situation and I do feel for you. Few OTP purchases made in the past couple of years in the West would actually stack up on valuation at settlement. The market downturn has caught out many who bought since late 2009. I have lost more than you have on an established IP I bought at the peak of the market.
good luck