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“I must be out of touch. I thought banks lent money, valuers value and real estate agents market property,” he said.
Not sure if lidcombe and granville fit into that theory.
Remember the hype about Berowra Waters restaurant? It has put Berowra on the map (though remaining pretty much dead area), but neighbouring Mt Kuring-Gai and especially Mt Colah despite being much better positioned are still asleep. Guess what will happen in the next couple of years with these suburbs when you have overpriced Hornsby on one side and overpriced Berowra on the other?
umm...........nothing.
After you wasted so much powder last year convincing everybody that property market is about to crash - do you really think that anybody is interested in your opinion?
I never said it was going to crash. And, yes.
Evan, you did...
majority of your posts in 2008 up until almost mid 2009 (when you saw the tide turning) were full of doom and gloom for resi properties... you forecasted massive drops and were of the opinion that 2008 will see massive falls, then changed it to 2009 (first half) and kept delaying your forecasts until you realised it wont happen.
Its ok to admit that one is wrong. I also get it wrong but dont take it personal when I am wrong. You had been wrong on majority of your assessments about prop market.
Harris
All these surveys IMO just make those who have purchased or are considering purchasing feel good about themselves.
Does anyone ever go back and judge how accurate these predictions are?
I have no problem admitting when i'm wrong.
I can't recall saying property prices were going to crash. That was non recourse and i'm on the record as saying his 40% crash prediction was too extreme.
I thought property prices would fall (and i still do) and i never expected the extent of recovery due the massive stimulus, low rates, etc.
I don't think anyone did, but they'll take the credit.
I remember you saying prices in NSW Central Coast and Western Sydney will fall also.
BTW yes you are right about property prices will fall in the future, its all part of the property cycle but fortunately you were wrong in this instance as you predicted the prices to fall NOW but they are on the rise.
Is saying there will be a crash in prices different to saying 'prices will fall'?
All these surveys IMO just make those who have purchased or are considering purchasing feel good about themselves.
Does anyone ever go back and judge how accurate these predictions are?
There is nothing wrong with a pat on the back.
Over two years ago Jan Somers was telling everyone Beenleigh was a Hotspot. I had already bought in Beenleigh and one in neighboring Mt Warren Park.
1. It DID make me feel good about myself.
2. It DID boom (and will continue to gain steady growth.)
So when I see my IP Suburbs up in headlights as Hotspots - I praise the messenger and hope there is an almighty rush to buy in the area!
Regards JO
You obviously didn't buy in any of those suburbs