BayView:
Is it just me, or does anyone else consider median a useless stat?
I think you raise valid points about statistics, (perhaps more so in a general context), and the need to apply the old adage: "
subject to interpretation".
Long term statistics, I am inclined to give a little more creedence too, and don't forget this pdf document includes (over the decade), a
growth per annum..
BV, you are not the only one to question median house price reliability and accuracy btw, and for good reason, we may get new, novice investors, less educated in assessing and weighing up info, so am including here a couple of pro's and con's article links regarding the median data and interpretation, to go with your considerations in your post:
1. From an ANZ information site:
Making sense of property prices
Knowing what a property is really worth is the most important step in negotiating a sale. We explain the terminology behind home prices so you can get started sooner.
from:
http://www.anz.com/Aus/Promo/HomeEssentials008/Property1.asp
and also:
The pros and cons of relying on median house prices
Most buyers will be familiar with the term median house price as it is commonly used in newspapers and by analysts when referring to property values in particular areas and/or over time.
Expert analysts favour median values because they are less affected by a few unusually high or low sales. This makes the median house price a more accurate indicator of true market activity.
But home buyers should treat median values with caution. Whilst the median house price can be a helpful guide when it comes to purchasing a home at auction or by private treaty, it may not tell the full story. Here are five reasons:
More information at the site, well worth a read
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NB The pdf data from the Victorian Valuer-General does note and bring to attention if sales have been 10 sales or under for the town/city.
2. Residex, also has a bit of an article, here:
http://www.residex.com.au/index.php?content=article18
We explain medians, and how they're not always a good way of understanding a suburb's true value (see article). It's quite interesting also.
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Actually good time to wack up some other links for folk starting out, and may not be aware of yet.
RPData site:
http://reports.rpdata.com.au/property_statistics_australia.html
PropertyValue site:
http://www.propertyvalue.com.au/property_statistics.php
Property Web site, has commercial and residential:
http://www.propertyweb.com.au/
Residex:
http://www.residex.com.au/
Good old
DSE:
http://www.dse.vic.gov.au/DSE/nrenp...5722F0001C596C47E1532FEE06C46CA2575160014B916
REIV is only the Vic link, google for your State:
http://www.reiv.com.au/home/default.asp
Australian Property Investor:
http://www.apimagazine.com.au/
Only put up a few, I am sure the forum has some other dedicated link threads, but if someone happens to land in this thread they will get a bit of this and that, and a smidgin of pro's and con's of this and that.
pdf link to 10 year median prices and growth per annum again:
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/files/median house prices by suburb.pdf
Do your due diligence for your investing and never hesitate to question why's and wherefore's.