Why Abbott could lose the ‘unloseable’ election

[evand]

"Now while Keating’s win in 1993 has its similarities to the next federal election, the most similar circumstance is arguably that of the Howard government victories of 2001 and 2004. A crushing victory to the Liberal National party in Queensland earlier this year led to the erroneous assumption that because the Libs hold power in NSW, Queensland, Victoria and WA, the 2013 federal election is won before its run.

Look back to 2001 however, and the polls were turned against Coalition prime minister John Howard, albeit not quite as resoundingly as they are currently again the ALP. NSW Labor premier Bob Carr held a strong majority in his state following the 1999 election, while Queensland Labor premier Peter Beattie won in a landslide 66 seats to 15 result in February of 2001. Labor also held sway in Victoria through a minority government led by Steve Bracks since 1999 and had a comfortable majority in WA with the Geoff Gallop government. Sound familiar?"

http://www.climatespectator.com.au/...ium=email&utm_campaign=e0844d8edc-CSPEC_DAILY

 

[Dazz]

hehehe....nothing to see here folks.

Look - what's under this rock. Hoy - don't look there, look over here.

Concentrate on this rock, don't look up.

hehehe....

 

[Ideo]

While I agree it is too early for the champagne corks to be popped, or the bottles of sleeping pills and vodka to be downed, depending on your perspective, I really don't think there is much doubt about the ALP loss.

Unless every single liberal member across the country is suddenly arrested for kicking puppies, and even then it is more likely to be an ALP win by one or two seats at most.

Will it be a landslide as some predict? I don't think so. But a loss is a nigh on certainty.

 

[evand]

As they said in the article:

A week may be a long time in politics, but 15 months is practically an eternity.

 

[Aaron Sice]

there's a syndrome for what you must endure for yourself, evan.

 

[evand]

I could say exactly the same about you.

But why the need to get personal? Can you post on topic?

there's a syndrome for what you must endure for yourself, evan.

 

[Nemo30]

I saw some commentators predicting Labor only getting 30 seats - Labor isnt going to just lose, they are going to be annhilated.

 

[HotRod]

I saw some commentators predicting Labor only getting 30 seats - Labor isnt going to just lose, they are going to be annhilated.

I read that some Kim Beazley even said the same. But hey, what would he know.

At least when they everntually re-emerge as a party after 40 years they'll be like the Israelites coming out of the desert.

 

[Aaron Sice]

I could say exactly the same about you.

But why the need to get personal? Can you post on topic?

whatever....

Latest Labor internal poll points to annihilation

 

[eKwatee]

"Now while Keating’s win in 1993 has its similarities to the next federal election, the most similar circumstance is arguably that of the Howard government victories of 2001 and 2004. A crushing victory to the Liberal National party in Queensland earlier this year led to the erroneous assumption that because the Libs hold power in NSW, Queensland, Victoria and WA, the 2013 federal election is won before its run.

Look back to 2001 however, and the polls were turned against Coalition prime minister John Howard, albeit not quite as resoundingly as they are currently again the ALP. NSW Labor premier Bob Carr held a strong majority in his state following the 1999 election, while Queensland Labor premier Peter Beattie won in a landslide 66 seats to 15 result in February of 2001. Labor also held sway in Victoria through a minority government led by Steve Bracks since 1999 and had a comfortable majority in WA with the Geoff Gallop government. Sound familiar?"

http://www.climatespectator.com.au/...ium=email&utm_campaign=e0844d8edc-CSPEC_DAILY

This website and every business associated with it would be financially disadvantaged should Tony Abbot become Prime minister and liberal be voted in. You can obviously see the bias here!

What is Climate Spectator?
Climate Spectator is a website that covers not just the science and politics of climate change, but also the key business parameters: the massive flows of investment expected in coming years and decades, the changing business models, the new technology, and the creation of new markets and investment propositions. The primary focus is on Australia but will also cover international developments of importance.
In particular the website seeks to be the pre-eminent source of information and analysis on developments in:
--renewable energy;
--energy efficiency and demand management;
--decarbonising transport and reducing dependence on oil;
--greenhouse gas abatement efforts and projects more generally such as carbon sequestration;
--Carbon trading and other carbon abatement certificate markets

 

[Crabnet]

"Now while Keating’s win in 1993 has its similarities to the next federal election, the most similar circumstance is arguably that of the Howard government victories of 2001 and 2004. A crushing victory to the Liberal National party in Queensland earlier this year led to the erroneous assumption that because the Libs hold power in NSW, Queensland, Victoria and WA, the 2013 federal election is won before its run."

http://www.climatespectator.com.au/...ium=email&utm_campaign=e0844d8edc-CSPEC_DAILY

If the world economy goes to hell in a handbasket in late 2013 or 2014 as some people forecast then Abbott and co might regret winning the next election.

This website and every business associated with it would be financially disadvantaged should Tony Abbot become Prime minister and liberal be voted in. You can obviously see the bias here!

For your general information News Corporation recently bought Climate Spectator along with Business Spectator. News Corporation like the Liberal Party at the moment.

 

[evand]

Are you sure you're not a teenager posting on here while jigging school Aaron?

whatever....

Latest Labor internal poll points to annihilation

 

[redwing]

I used to think a lot of the politicians were Muppets, watching Parliament Time on TV where they acted like a bunch of nine years olds calling names, booing, talking each other down etc, nearly convinced me of this

Then with the RUDD Vs GILLARD public battle for the crown and the appearance of the real power brokers in the background, I realised they were all just Puppets

 

[BayView]

I could say exactly the same about you.

But why the need to get personal? Can you post on topic?

And your catch cry of "get over it you whingers" is....?

And this:

Are you sure you're not a teenager posting on here while jigging school Aaron?

pffft.

 

[willair]

"Now while Keating’s win in 1993 has its similarities to the next federal election, the most similar circumstance is arguably that of the Howard government victories of 2001 and 2004. A crushing victory to the Liberal National party in Queensland earlier this year led to the erroneous assumption that because the Libs hold power in NSW, Queensland, Victoria and WA, the 2013 federal election is won before its run.

Look back to 2001 however, and the polls were turned against Coalition prime minister John Howard, albeit not quite as resoundingly as they are currently again the ALP. NSW Labor premier Bob Carr held a strong majority in his state following the 1999 election, while Queensland Labor premier Peter Beattie won in a landslide 66 seats to 15 result in February of 2001. Labor also held sway in Victoria through a minority government led by Steve Bracks since 1999 and had a comfortable majority in WA with the Geoff Gallop government. Sound familiar?"

http://www.climatespectator.com.au/...ium=email&utm_campaign=e0844d8edc-CSPEC_DAILY

Lets just say Labor under Miss Gillard wins,with backdoor deals that occur in corridors and gutless members rooms,that still go unrecorded and therefore go largley unknown to the Australian Voting Public till she is voted back and it's too late in??? what do you think the Business Landscape will look like,it's bad enough now in some industrial streets in Brisbane where the signs for sale fill some streets up,and the former business belly-up and everything in side for auction,..

 

[Aaron_C]

Julia Gillard is no Paul Keating or John Howard....please evan. The latter two were leaders, Gillard is just a puppet for the faceless men from the AWU.

 

[HotRod]

Julia Gillard is no Paul Keating or John Howard....please evan. The latter two were leaders, Gillard is just a puppet for the faceless men from the AWU.

Anyone see the front page news of The Australian.

So glad with have Juliar as our dear leader.

 

[Aaron Sice]

Are you sure you're not a teenager posting on here while jigging school Aaron?

But why the need to get personal? Can you post on topic?

address the topic please.

Latest Labor internal poll points to annihilation

Labor worse under Gillard than Rudd - poll - this uses the Galaxy poll that you, yourself, have decried as the most accurate.

 

[Aaron Sice]

Anyone see the front page news of The Australian.

So glad with have Juliar as our dear leader.

Kim Juliar Il.

 

[Crabnet]

address the topic please.

Latest Labor internal poll points to annihilation

Labor worse under Gillard than Rudd - poll - this uses the Galaxy poll that you, yourself, have decried as the most accurate.

There is another statistic doing the rounds.
If an election were held today and Abbott won he would be the least popular elected Prime Minister since polling began. On the other hand I suppose if Gillard won and her popularity remains in the basement she might get the record.