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Can you explain what the bolded quote from the article means ? It sounds like a v. scary fivefold increase in US debt issuance.... but that doesn't correspond with the rest of the article. The Fed issued ~$2T in each of the previous 4 yrs.... so what's scary or different in 2010 :confused...

But which crackpots ? Times such as these bring out even more fruit loops than usual... and they've all got a different theory about why the end is nigh :rolleyes: .. and all backed up with plausible explanations, detailed historical data, scientific studies, and some of them can even help...

Hard to know with any degree of certainty..... Historically the US$ has been where people put their $$ for safety, then gold. ATM gold is rising mostly because of the US$ printing, not because of any imminent D&G. The 'Amero' is currently not seriously on anyones radar, except for a few...

It's the probability that is important. If everyone knows about a problem, then it's unlikely to be a problem. If a tiny minority know about a problem, then there's a much larger chance of everyone else being unprepared. We're all aware of the issues you listed, we can asses how likely they...

Ask your friends if they had heard of Mr Schiff back in 2006 (had you ?). Was it a known known then ? Sure, a couple of people thought it was a possibility, but only in 2008 did it actually become known to people like you & me. I didn't realise you were serious when you said 100% guaranteed...

Back here you said.... ... and I generously gave you an extra 10 years for the D&G to happen. ...and the end is nigh :rolleyes:. It'd be reasonable to expect a stabilisation, or a small downturn of economic indicators & stock markets after the exuberance that we've avoided a v. bad outcome (so...

You're turning this into a policy debate - should they have let the banks fail & endure the 10 yrs of depression (like they did in the 1930s) or should they do what they actually did... which is working so far.... much to the dismay of the D&Gers. I have little interest in that... however, I do...

I think you misunderstand.... the question was What probabilities do you place on these events causing something worse than the GFC ? If you still think the 1st 3 are 100% guaranteed, then you need to forget about gold & be looking at stockpiling rice, & buying some chickens. Has the last 6...

Sure, all these could happen.... what probability do you place on them ? Again... what probability do you place on it ? 100% guaranteed ? or somewhat less ? And if it starts to look more likely, do you think it's possible to adapt to the new circumstances ? It's not all about the US these...

Those 2 links are from 3 & 4 months ago. Do you feel they are still relevant to today considering the market has risen since then ? Those 2 paragraphs could be paraphrased in 4 words - The end is nigh. Can you give us something tangible that will cause it ? or is it just a gut feel ? Do you...

Yep, it's a generalisation, and it generally correct. This is one of those comments that makes things seem either black or white..... You appear to be saying that the market was wrong in March, so it can never be trusted to be right. I'd be more inclined to generalise and say that historically...

Stock market (US & here), house prices (US & here & elsewhere). Why not ? The stock market looks ahead by 12 months or so... its' level today is closely based on what the market thinks will be justified in 12 months time. OK, so if we accept that houses are being kept off the market to...

How much of this do you feel is already priced in ? The effect of Subprime resets was unknown back in 2007. The imminent Option ARM resets over the next 2 years is a 'known known'. I'd expect that event to have been priced into expectations many months ago. Of course, there is a possibility...

AMP has some commentary about Just how worrying is the ‘worry list’ for investors?

There's a few commentators & posters here suggesting we're in the eye of the storm. Various macro indicators have shown tentative signs of improvement, and anecdotally stocks & house prices are rising. We appear to have survived the banking/financial crisis. So what's going to be the...