No relief for first-time buyers as house prices to keep rising

It proves only one thing.

The rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

I always find it interesting when this line is dragged out.

What exactly is supposed to happen if you have one person with assets and another without assets?

Is the world supposed to magically stop the first guys assets from appreciating (and the income those assets produce) whilst at the same time increasing the second blokes income and riches in some way?

Doesn't work like that - assets will continue to rise over the decades regardless. Those who have them will benefit, those that don't obviously can't benefit.
 
i realy hate this quote, !!!

i see it as the rich get richer because the poor are financially illiterate,

Yes, me too.

It is true that the rich get richer, but it's because they are constantly learning more financial stuff, and then implementing it. Maybe put a little risk on it, and take a bit of a punt as well, but it's an educated risk for most.

They see an opportunity and act.

The poor have no or little financial stuff, and never bother to go out and find it and/or use it, instead making lame excuses.

See my sig.
 
Years ago, the FHB's went along to the Bank wearing their Sunday Best suit, with cap in hand asking for an 80% loan after saving their deposit from years of sacrifice.

Then, they put sheets up on the windows for curtains, and saved for more years for the fences and the gardens, and drove or public transported it from their little 2 or 3 bed home with one bathroom and no garage into work from the outskirts of civilisation.

They sat on second hand furniture and went without - no credit cards back then, and no Harvey Norman 3 year interest free terms.

OH another one of our generation!

We moved in to our unfinished house in 2 car loads. 1 x bean bag, 1 x TV & our clothes + clothes dryer.

We brought a fridge and with both our next fortnights pay a washing machine.

We basically finished off one room every 2 to 3 months depending on our savings from wages.

We hired a brush cutter/weedeater to cut downt he front yard's weeds as in our day no one owned one!


Sheryn
 
yep i still remember the milk crate dinning chairs, we first bought heaps of crap furniture, all different, coffee table, sideboards etc, and i sanded the lot back and spraypainted it all, about 6 items with gloss tractor enamel "white" it looked awsome, the things we did back then compared to now was so different than todays generation, and it shows , if i did'nt help my mum and dad to paint the house , build fences, remove old tiles and stoves i would have had my *** kicked so hard , but i am so glad now i did those things, Thanks mum, and dad, !
 
yep i still remember the milk crate dinning chairs, we first bought heaps of crap furniture, all different, coffee table, sideboards etc, and i sanded the lot back and spraypainted it all, about 6 items with gloss tractor enamel "white" it looked awsome, the things we did back then compared to now was so different than todays generation, and it shows , if i did'nt help my mum and dad to paint the house , build fences, remove old tiles and stoves i would have had my *** kicked so hard , but i am so glad now i did those things, Thanks mum, and dad, !

Hey Craig, funny that most of us did those things back when housing was soooo much cheaper :rolleyes:
 
I remember convincing other mates to help with building the HW pailing fence, and then dad would get some beer for us to share, i think we were about 16 yo, so after hand nailing 900 hardwood pailings our fingers were so numb from bashing them with the hammers , we could'nt hold the cans, lol...OH what a laugh that day was :rolleyes:
 
I've got a quick question: Some of the posters have said how they struggled to buy their first house, and I've seen comments about posters still living in the same place they bought back in their 20s.

So has there been a structural shift in the market? Was it possible (say twenty years ago) to buy a house that would suit a couple for a lifetime, whereas now a first time buyer will struggle to get a unit. If that's the case, then it's a very big change.

Also, given that 20 - 25% of market activity is from first timers, can prices actually rise to a level where they're forever priced out? Are there enough investors to prop up the bottom end of the market? (That's what happened in the UK.)
 
So has there been a structural shift in the market? Was it possible (say twenty years ago) to buy a house that would suit a couple for a lifetime, whereas now a first time buyer will struggle to get a unit. If that's the case, then it's a very big change.

Also, given that 20 - 25% of market activity is from first timers, can prices actually rise to a level where they're forever priced out? Are there enough investors to prop up the bottom end of the market? (That's what happened in the UK.)

To answer q.1. It was and still is. But the perception of what constitutes a house for life is different. We are so bombarded in the media now about owning the dream home, and companies like Devine, Australand etc pushing this, that everyone has to have it and have it now.

My P.I.L bought a 3 x 1 brick home in Noble Park 40 years ago. They added one bedroom and bathroom to it about 20 years ago, and are still there.

q.2. FHB's have always had it tough to buy. They are typically younger, lower income and have little savings when they want to buy. Very few reach 18 years old and are cashed up, or leave school and go out immediately into the big bucks jobs. But, the expectations of a first home have changed now. Many FHB's are younger professional types these days, wanting to live near the city, cafes, lifestyle areas. They want a cool pad, and all of this costs more than you traditional tract home with no gardens out in the boondock new suburbs.
Investors make up around 30% of the market. Typically, they will only buy when the signs are good - in a growth stage and when yields are higher. Very few investors buy in doom and hold on. Many buy on the way up, and sell at the start of the slowdown when things start to look bad. As what has happened on this forum in the last 3 years. Lots of sellers last year, and not a lot of buyers.
So, mostly they react to the market - not set it.
 
So has there been a structural shift in the market? Was it possible (say twenty years ago) to buy a house that would suit a couple for a lifetime, whereas now a first time buyer will struggle to get a unit. If that's the case, then it's a very big change.

Also, given that 20 - 25% of market activity is from first timers, can prices actually rise to a level where they're forever priced out? Are there enough investors to prop up the bottom end of the market? (That's what happened in the UK.)

I bought my first property in 2002 and it wasn't a struggle at all. Low wage, but had saved up a bit first and rented it out for the first year. This house whilst small, could have suited a couple for a life time, but these days expectations of FHB's have changed. 60yrs ago, people bought a 93m2 house, raised their kids, lived a long life and died in it. I'd say a lot of today's FHB's wouldn't even consider buying a 93m2 house.

As to your second question, yes I believe it can happen - but we're still a long way off from that. There are so many properties in Australia within FHB territory. If they turn their noses up at these properties as not good enough - that's choice, not being priced out of the market. So they may decide not to buy, or wait longer, rent forever, not invest to increase their options etc - but it's a choice they're making.
 
Hey Craig, funny that most of us did those things back when housing was soooo much cheaper :rolleyes:

Yeah my first place was a 40 ac hobby farm an hr from Melbourne b/c I wanted to get out of Melbourne so I thought I'd build a house up on the block.
First I built a 50ft shed with a room in 1/2, scrounged all the stuff 2nd hd , did it for 400 bucks. My brother helped mix the the slab in a wheelbarrow , 1 x 1 .only 1/2 the shed. Dug 14 holes with a shovel , solid granitey dirt. He didn't come back up for about 2 yrs after that - strange !
Watered all my new trees from a big barrel in the back of the wagon I;d fill up at the creek down the road. Car was always swimming by the time we got back to the block.
Built a Barbie out of the rock from around the place and we'd have beers and steaks after working - was great stuff really.
Freinds back then were all getting into mudbrick on a few ac away from Melb'
We'd find a big dirt truck , head out into bushy areas and fill it up with rocks for the foundations and floors . I was usually too busy to get up on those runs - cough !
They built some stunning places , all by hand . Made their bricks and all.
Great days
 
PS. The funniest thing about that shed compared to now was the permit. 50 bucks . A ph call , oh just get started I'll see if I can get out one day, he never did make it.

One I'm doing right now , 400 soil test , 400 slab permit,650 shed permit , 300 planning permit , 4 inspections so far. It's just a f'n 8 mtr shed in a paddock for God sake.

Cheers
 
yep - local government love to have a hand in your wallet the minute you open your mouth.

you should see some of the cheques i'm writing on behalf of my clients - $5350, $9870, $6635.....
 
Yes, me too.

It is true that the rich get richer, but it's because they are constantly learning more financial stuff, and then implementing it. Maybe put a little risk on it, and take a bit of a punt as well, but it's an educated risk for most.

They see an opportunity and act.

The poor have no or little financial stuff, and never bother to go out and find it and/or use it, instead making lame excuses.

See my sig.
A lot of people are rich because of who they KNOW, not what they know. It's WHO YOU KNOW that lands the contracts (e.g. brisbane airport link, 2nd bridge, etc).....let me be more specific ---> its who you PAY OFF who gets you the contract.

And its across the board.....e.g. I don't think Anna Bligh was having dinners at Ken Talbots mansion because they were mates?

Nutall, Mackenroth, Beattie - all scumbags by very definition.

Yes, financial education is good (better than no education).....but financial literacy will only get you so far in this world.
 
i reckon it's very possible.

not everyone will be able to afford a house. apparently that's near-on criminal in this country.
... and rising, and rising...

End of the Australian dream

Robert Gottliebsen said:
On their own these events will not change national savings patterns, but if we take a step back it's suddenly clear why the landscape is likely to change dramatically. The Triguboff argument is that higher interest rates will slow down the rate of building construction at a time when the population is rising dramatically. That means that we are building up an even greater long-term housing shortage – a powder keg which after seven relatively stagnant years is set to explode. The trigger is likely to be pulled by Treasurer Wayne Swan who has slashed the amount people can invest tax effectively in superannuation. Many will swing back to highly leveraged dwellings.

As investors return to the residential market, prices will edge up and home ownership will become tougher and tougher in most areas of Australia. In some cities such as Melbourne enormous amounts of new land is being brought onto the market and this may hold back values to some degree. Nevertheless the investor demand will be very strong.

My guess is that once the government wakes up to what is happening they will curb the interest deductibility rules, but that will create even greater shortages.

Few countries have a higher home ownership rate than Australia. Over the next five years the events of the last two weeks have set us on a course that will reduce the home ownership proportion and residential renting will become greater. That’s a nation-changing event.

If you've got 'em, hold 'em...

Cheers,
Michael
 
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