How do you judge your entry points?
Different basic ways to time entry , either based on of the fundamental analysis ( FA ) of a companies performance / debt / profitability / product potential etc or based on technical analysis ( TA ) of the share chart .
With each method ( FA or TA ) you can time on the basis of whether the share is underperforming ( in the expectation it's going to improve ) of a share is performing well ( and you expect it to keep on performing well )
What wategos is suggesting is a combination of both , shares that are fundamentally sound but are performing poorly ( on the basis of recent history ) on the basis of TA . Quite a good approach .
You get some people , the most high profile being Warren Buffett who buy purely on the FA ( so that obviously works
) and many high profile traders who successfully trade purely on the basis of TA so either way can work. On the share forums the FA va TA debate is a bit like the Share Vs Property debate . It always keeps coming uyp , one side will never convince the others and a good approach can be the combination of both. They attract different types of persons. I'm a TA person , though I always like to glance through the FA of a company before I buy it and may use that to decide which shares to buy out of a few possibles.
Currently we don't have any money in the market , because we're fully committed to property as I think that is where the easy money is at the moment . The ASX has been in a range ( roughly between 4000 - 4500) since it's initial recovery from the GFC.
At some stage it will break out and start trending up , and it's threatened to do that on several occasions , as it is now , but so far it's kept turning down.
There are always individual shares that will out perform the markets , but the easy money in shares occur when the whole market is trending up , as is occuring in property at the moment .
I apply TA principles to the property market and it has work well for me.
Cliff