Capital Protection
jscott said:
Another question is - why is capital protection required? If the funds and their managers were any good would they really need to divert a large proportion of the invested money to capital protection? I understand that one of the plus's of capital protection is that lenders will lend 100% against the product.
You and Y-Man basically answer this.
The primary reason is the "sleep at night" factor.
While, yes, people will commit to equity funds without capital protection, they are much more comfortable committing "significantly" to it with the capital guarantee in place.
Even though there is a perception that "everyday" investors now understand equities their behaviour indicates they do not.
Let’s step back for a second - most people, if they attempted to actively sell properties right now they acquired in the last few years would take a loss (and in most markets across Australia that could be as high as 30%) or sell at a breakeven or profit not substantial enough to justify the investment, but they seem very happy that their investment decision was “right”.
When it comes to shares our phones ring off the hook if one of our recommendations goes down even 5%. And if one of our recommendations fell as much as 30% (ie: the same amount I am saying they would lose if they actively sold their properties against their peak valuation) they would be screaming! So while they say they are comfortable with their decisions their behaviour indicates otherwise.
I have a running joke with Fund Managers (this will NOT be funny to anybody apart from people in the Financial Services industry so go to sleep now), when they ask me what the risk profile of our clients' is...
My answer is, "Very aggressive...
UNTIL they start losing money!"
Knowing that our recommendations to clients are affected by allocation and risk profile, in order to balance their portfolios (which is an essential element of my strategy) we would be required to recommend significant leverage (borrowing) to invest in equities to match their exposure to property.
Side bar - remember most people (because they think they understand property), have really got themselves over exposed to leverage - we still see clients with in excess of 90% LVR AND variable interest rates while our current recommendation (generally) is no more then 70% LVR and fixed interest rates (for as long a duration as possible when you consider my prediction that they will peak early to mid next decade).
While gearing up and staying variable in a rising market might be a clever strategy most of our clients (and I suggest most people in this forum) have not adjusted their strategy in light of new economic circumstances which have been evident in most areas now for 3 to 4 years (ie: a repressed housing market, a rising equities market, and an economic circumstance showing further rises in interest rates on the cards).
So in order to get them exposure to the rising equities market and match their exposure to their residential property allocation we would have to gear them to levels that I am VERY uncomfortable with given their risk profile and behaviour.
The capital protection allows the risk of the investment to be matched (at least in the long term – the duration of the investment) with the risk profile of our clients – good news number one, and, as long as they can afford and are comfortable with the interest payments, allows them to add significantly more leverage to start to address the imbalance in their portfolios – good news number two.
Having said all that you CAN invest in the fund without the capital protection but you get a much lower LVR (up to 70%) and I think you are over estimating what the capital protection costs. Remember this is an equities fund so they take a hedging approach (ie: they buy a put) not a actuarial approach (setting aside large swags of cash invested at the cash rate to offset a 100% loss situation). Hedging is a significantly cheaper approach to capital protection then most other approaches. It slightly increases the risk to the provider (in that they have to actively manage the position) but in the end that’s their risk.
The upside for the investor is the cost is lower. An actuarial approach can see up to 70% of the upfront funds taken for risk management. So the remaining 30% has to work really hard to justify your investment. (And, by the way, when you hear most people who do not understand “structured products” capital guarantees sprouting off about them this is usually what they refer to).
A hedging approach can mean the costs are as little as 6% to 12% (in the ones we have been considering lately anyway). OK, still a reasonable cost but when you factor in that you can then increase your leverage from 70% to 100% this is offset if the fund performs (and if it doesn’t you have the same net outcome as the other approach).
Remember, it is not the type of fund that you are investing in (in this case a “structured product”) it is the approach (the mandate or how your funds will be invested or traded). That is where you start your research. Then you look at how the fund is structured. A good approach or mandate can be “ruined” by a poor structure. While it is rare a good structure can save a poor approach it can certainly contribute significantly to your returns if both the mandate and the structure are good.
So like all things it pays to know what you are investing in and do your research (or trust professional advisers like Freeman Fox to help you).
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