MichaelM said:
I've been running through a few examples on paper to gain a better understanding of Cashbonds.
Let's use an example where you had a property portfolio of $2 million and interest rates reached 10%.
If you borrowed $240,000 to buy a 5 year Cashbond you would receive a tax free income of $48,000 p.a. But this is before the interest cost of borrowing the money for the Cashbond.
So 10% of $240,000 = $24,000 p.a. This would mean half of your $48,000 income is spent on servicing the loan.
If after 5 years your portfolio increased as per Steve's example - "$2,000,000 of property growing at 5% p.a. for 5 years = $2,552,557-59 at the end of the 5th year. Equity gain of $552,557-59." This would be more than enough equity to allow a further cashbond of $240,000, providing another 5 years of $48,000 p.a income. BUT - you are now receiving $48,000 minus $24,000 interest on the previous Cashbond minus $24,000 interest on the new Cashbond. Leaving NOTHING for income. So to receive the same $24,000 net income as you had for the first 5 years you would need to have bought a Cashbond for more than $360,000 this time around.
In this case to maintain your income of $24,000 p.a the interest repayments will at least double every time you take out another 5 year Cashbond. This seems to be an extreme amount of interest to be paying for a fairly low income.
In keeping my example simple I have not allowed the income to increase in line with inflation. It is also a WORST CASE SCENARIO and I have used higher interest rates (and not yet taken into account the interest portion paid from the Cashbond which would obviously improve the figures).
Hi Michael,
The
actual figures at 10% interest on the loan look as follows:
Int Rate 10%
Loan Amount Interest p/a Bond payments pa Closing Balalnce
Start year 1 240,000 22,869 48,000 214,869 End year 1 (Interest payed monthly)
Start year 2 214,869 20,237 48,000 187,106 End year 2
Start year 3 187,106 17,330 48,000 156,436 End year 3
Start year 4 156,436 14,119 48,000 122,555 End year 4
Start year 5 122,555 10,571 48,000 85,126 End year 5
So at the end of the 5th year after servicing the loan and paying down the balance, only $85,126 would be left outstanding.
Now, the assumption that your properties have grown at 5% p.a. has produced an extra $552,557 of equity. (Seems like a good result to me??)
HOWEVER:
If you spent all the dollars each month (IE just serviced the interest) then you would still owe the full $240,000 at the end of the five years.
$552,557 X 80% = $442,045 New cashbond = $88,049 p.a.
Less: $442,045 + 240,000 X 10% = $68,204 p.a.
Leaving a balance of $20,205 p.a. net to live on. (Which is a lesser income than the first 5 years!)
Solution:
IF Interest rate averaged 10%
AND the cashbond income
did not increase proportionately
AND the properties only averaged 5% p.a. average growth
THEN:
It would not be prudent to be spending
ALL the income in the first 5 years!! (You shouldn't spend what isn't being produced . . . so a cost / budgeting excercise would need to be worked out.
I realise that you have portrayed a
'Worst Scene Scenario'
In such a case, one would need to budget accordingly.
The example looks more reasonable if you look at 7% interest, 4.5% CB return and 5% property growth as follows:
CB income = $48,000 net p.a
Loan cost at 7% = $16,800 p.a.
Net income p.a. for first 5 years = $31,200
Int Rate 7%
Loan Amount Interest p/a Bond payments pa Closing Balalnce
Start year 1 240,000 15,779 48,000 207,779 End year 1 (Interest payed monthly)
Start year 2 207,779 13,450 48,000 173,229 End year 2
Start year 3 173,229 10,952 48,000 136,182 End year 3
Start year 4 136,182 8,274 48,000 96,456 End year 4
Start year 5 96,456 5,402 48,000 53,858 End year 5
$552,557 X 80% = $442,045 New cashbond = $88,049 p.a.
Less: $442,045 + 240,000 X
7% = $47,743
And then
your income net of costs increases to $40,306 for the next 5 years.
Steve