Went along to "his" seminar last night.
It was essentially a sell by a company called Macro Realty.
They consist of some of Craig's students from his previous iAspire business and they have set up an all-in-one real estate business.
We went with two friends who are on the look for cash flow positive properties.
Craig basically gave an intro into why cash flow properties are so good and why he now wants to get in on the game (which I find surprising after ready his books and thinking he was already in it). Went through the metrics of the China market and how iron ore is an important factor.
Then the Macro Realty spiel came along saying how there was a lack of land in Port Hedland (did not mention SH) and Newman. Showed a picture of Port Hedland (not SH) and showed that all the land was subject to flooding and there was no land available, implying that property would only go up in value. Then mentioned Newman that there was no land available because of the hills around it. Mentioned for both that there no properties to rent (and showed a Domain listing for June 2012
) and that rents and prices were going up, up, up.
They had their own brand new projects, with a finance broker there, mentioned 95% LVRs, cash bonds, flipping, OTP, rent guarantees, all the things that set off alarms in my head. Then there was the disclaimer at the end that went by very quickly, and I was trying to pick up something about commissions etc, that was mentioned but I could not read quick enough.
Craig then came back on and wrapped things up.
There was no time given for Q&A time, for points to be clarified (see below).
This sounded very scary to me as it was only half the truth and a very convenient half at that.
They did not mention South Hedland at all, this suburb was built because there's no land in Port Hedland and is where the dveelopment will occur in the greater PH area. ATM, it has a large rental surplus with rents actually easing off. This is where LandCorp is to be releasing many hundreds of lots and this will take the heat out of the market.
They briefly mentioned Karratha in that the market is easing, for the very reason that land supply is increasing. They seemed to gloss over that very quickly, mentioned Point Anketell port and that population will increase and everyone will be happy again, but this "might" happen.
This very thing is about to happen in South Hedland (flowing onto PH) and Newman (as there actually is land there to be developed).
If you want to get into the market, there is plenty of stock you can buy in PH/SH/Newman.
I think these markets are in a state of flux. There are redevelopment projects occurring with Royalty for Regions money, land being released through LandCorp (this mostly being for owner occupied through ballots) and major projects have been on-hold for the last six months.
It pay big dividends if one buys there and the market goes up, but thinking about Karratha where there has been extra land released, rents have come off 20% and prices maybe 10% with yields now about the 8 to 9% range where they might have been 9 to 10%.
I think do you DD very carefully. A 95% lend in one of their projects might end up burning a few people if the market corrects 10 to 20% downwards in the next few years.