Hi guys,
Just a quick one, Im on my way out for dinner
I agree with Ken wholeheartedly here. Minimum cap growth of any suburb in Newcastle in the last 12 months was just under 20% (Cardiff/Edgeworth), and both of these are around 15 kms from the CBD.
9 suburbs have had growth of 40% plus in the last 12 months.
Even suburbs with historically bad reputations as industrial (Mayfield, Nth Lambton, Islington) have grown a minimun of 25% in the last year.
I also agree with both Ken and brains that there is very little, if any, chance of buying a +ve geared or cashflow prop in Newcastle at the moment. Capital growth has just been too strong, and while vacancies are still pretty low (under 2% from the 3 or 4 PMs I know), rental increases have not kept track with growth.
I personally believe there is still some growth left in Inner suburbs, simply because there is no vacant land within 2kms of the beach, and in some outer suburbs that are yet to follow to their potential.
I recently saw a unit go for 210k (2 streets from my house) that last sold for 121k in August 2001... or just under 74% capital growth for 18 months. No reno, not even a coat of paint... The buyer was from Sydney, and bought sight unseen
Like Ken says, there are still some great buys in the area, but it takes a lot more work now than it did 18 months ago, and they are getting harder and harder to find. Decent size blocks for future development are also relatively scarce now...
Another forumite and I looked at an unrenovated house last week listed at 210k... the property next door was basically exactly the same but
HAD been renovated , and sold for 210k a couple of months back. Even renos are losing their steam in Newcastle
Hope this helps, now Im in trouble for making people wait for me
Jamie (who would really prefer Sydney people to steer clear of Newcastle in the future
)