Aust residential property values rise 1.1%

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Aust residential property values rise 1.1%



By a staff reporter ???
Australian residential property values have risen 1.1 per cent in the first two months of 2009, recovering from a three per cent fall last year, new data shows.
The RP Data-Rismark Hedonic Property Index released on Tuesday showed Sydney and Melbourne were the key drivers of the 2009 rebound, with dwelling values up 0.5 per cent to $509,900 and 1.9 per cent to $428,600 respectively.
The research showed the market had been helped by lower mortgage rates - which are at their lowest point in nearly 40 years after peaking at 9.6 per cent in August last year, before dropping to 5.8 per cent currently. Economists expert the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the official cash rate by at least 25 basis points when the board of the bank meets next Tuesday, April 7.
"The recovery in prices over the last quarter has been driven by the 40 per cent reduction in mortgage rates, the boost to the first home owners grant, the government's fiscal stimulus and a significant housing shortage," Rismark International chief, Christopher Joye, said.
Mr Joye said the first home owners grant had been a successful policy, and the health of Australia's financial system meant the market had been more resilient than other countries around the world.
"The resilience of Australia's housing market has also been underpinned by our robust banking system, which (sic) CBA (Commonwealth Bank of Australia) recently reporting that its 90 day mortgage default rate was a stunningly low 0.38 per cent," Mr Joye said.
In August, the ASX will launch a new residential property derivatives market based on a daily version of the RP Data-Rismark Hedonic Indices.
Using liquid ASX-listed contracts, Rismark said the new market would allow individual and institutional investors to go long and short on the total returns to every capital city and national market.

http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs.nsf/Article/Aust-resedential-property-values-rise-11-$pd20090331-QMW5X?OpenDocument&src=is&alerts&loc=center


Dave
 
I would have thought all those FHB sales would be dragging the medium down (even though prices are probably stable).
 
Hi BB,

Yep, nice isn't it. :) Only a little tickle up at this stage but definately not another leg down in prices.

Here's another article out today covering the RBA's forward view on house prices being well supported:

Your house is safe: RBA

Does this mean that Steve Keen is now going to climb Mount Kosciuszko wearing the "I got it wrong" T-Shirt? i.e. What's the signal that the market drops have stopped and didn't reach his 20% bet? Is it a turn "up" in prices? Surely a cumulative drop of 3% is clearly well below his 40% projections and 20% bet...

Not time to pop the champagne just yet IMHO, but at least it should mitigate against some of the massive misinformation perpetrated by the "end of the world" fear-mongers. Whew, that was a mouthful! :D

Cheers,
Michael
 
.....but,as we all know Dave.....no-one is actually rich enough to own "Australian residential property", so the 1.1% carries a margin of error of about 3 or 4%.


What they actually own is :

Unit 3 / 17 Berrigan Drive Hurstville NSW..........down 2.7%
24 Hill St Coorparoo QLD..............................up 5.6%
49 Review Crescent Glengowrie SA...............up 17.3%


What exactly can anyone take from the 1.1% figure quoted ??


Individual title deeds vs "the market". One makes you wealthy, and the other makes you "informed".
 
Juxtaposition

Low interest rates help ease mortgage stresses

THE number of Australian families facing mortgage stress has fallen by 300,000 from its peak last August as lower interest rates and government stimulus packages ease the pressure on households.
...
The improvement in home values in 2009 following modest 3 per cent falls in 2008 highlights the absurdity of the sensationalist predictions by one or two economists in 2008 that prices would fall by 30-40 per cent...




US home prices drop 19pc: Case-Shiller index

...The problem for real estate remains the huge overhang of inventory. Demand, though rising, remains too weak to clear out the number of homes on the market.

Until the overhang is whittled down, prices won't stabilise. And since the economy's problems began with housing's implosion, falling home prices will complicate Washington's effort to end the recession and fix the financial markets.

According to the January S&P/Case-Shiller report, the 10-city home price index dropped 19.4 per cent from a year ago; the 20-city home price index plunged 19 per cent. Since peaking in the second quarter of 2006, the 10-city and 20-city indexes are down 30.2 per cent and 29.1 per cent, respectively...
 

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as is 1% is going to save the world....

as if 3.3% drop is going to end it....
Precisely!

To paraphrise: This is "no news at all". But in the current environment where some forecasters are predicting massive falls, the old adage of "no news is good news" applies.

i.e. The absence of falls is in itself fantastic news! ;)

Cheers,
Michael
 
This is a hedonic index, so in theory should adjust for the skew in sales mix.

That is a good point,
probably there is more to say about it:
The FHB now are in a much higher number and because the FHBgrant they have more money. Also new build homes are not going to get cheaper with the AU$ going down like it did (material building cost going up).
I believe builders will not jump of joy to get a 1% rise in homes when you get the AU$ dropping the way it did and FHgrant big boost. :eek:
 
Aussie battlers need to wait until the end of this year or see out 2010 before saying the market is holding up well....

early days yet girls....the trend is still heading south...just hasnt arrived yet with any force which is good for most property holders.
 
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