Minsky, Ponzi & pornography bubble talk.

[The Fence]

All those terms were mentioned in this article on Business Spectator yesterday.

The very forthright message is gloom and doom. Forget the pronography.

Seeing as though we have just seen off the last lot of predictions of 50% losses from 12 months ago in the 'scaremongering' thread, they seem to just keep coming and mainly from the academics.

 

[Aaron Sice]

next bubble is bonds - it's the only asset class left.

i think gold is going higher, then back to where it is now, then a slip to the 1200s during bond bubble mania within 5-7 years.

i think we're too early to see the 8000 target - but 2020 will bring some interesting results.

 

[Intrinsic_Value]

All those terms were mentioned in this article on Business Spectator yesterday.

The very forthright message is gloom and doom. Forget the pronography.

Seeing as though we have just seen off the last lot of predictions of 50% losses from 12 months ago in the 'scaremongering' thread, they seem to just keep coming and mainly from the academics.

Depends on your investment horizon length. If its multiple cycles, then on a 30 year view point, people will still do very nicely from property, they will look at todays prices and think so cheap, regardless of the fundamental point of current property prices.

If one is looking at a 10 year view point, then my position hasnt changed, shares will still outperform property on a 10 year total return basis.

 

[Intrinsic_Value]

next bubble is bonds - it's the only asset class left.

i think gold is going higher, then back to where it is now, then a slip to the 1200s during bond bubble mania within 5-7 years.

i think we're too early to see the 8000 target - but 2020 will bring some interesting results.

totally agree in regards to bonds, wouldnt touch it as an asset class at this point in time ( i am refering to government, not corporate bonds)

In regards to gold, i have no idea. Essentially gold will be determined totally by buyer/seller interaction. There is no income return on gold.