Hi Land,Of course, it would only take a rental increase of $40 on each unit (approx 5% increase), to bring the shortfall down the the current $30K shortfall that you have. I don't think it's too much of a stretch to imagine the rents going up 5%, if not more!
Math there not quite right...
Current market rent appraisal is $830 per week or $129,480 pa for all three.
The shortfall as stated already is $37,248 at current 8.5% interest rates on $1,961,500 total borrowings completed.
To bridge that shortfall I'd need an additional $238.77 per week in rent ($37,248 / 52 / 3). That equates to a 29% increase in rent from today's appraisal.
Whilst 30% is not out of the question, I'm waiting until some of that is bridged in the market already before I commit to building it. I'd like to start building knowing that when complete I'd be neutral cash flow on it or better. Admittedly, if the market turns growth oriented in the interim, then I'll happily start building even if its marginally negative. When I allow the $50K non-cash deduction then the actual holding cost is really achievable. But, if vacancies occur, or project delays happen then there is still some serious risk of cost blowout or servicability problems.
It looks good, but I'm letting the market improve a little more before I get going on it.
Thanks for the excellent post mate,
Michael.