Fascinating & very insightful.
So how does this compare to serviceability rates when we had the last interest rate reductions post GFC1? Is this the same or is this a different phenomenon?
If widespread, this lack of drop of serviceability would be a critical factor in people not being able to get into debt or more debt, even if they wanted to.
Do these serviceability rates apply to LVRs at around 80% or do they change if you want a 60%LVR?
As an example on servicing rates:
* Just getting into the GFC, in June 2008, Westpac's servicing rate was 10.36%. Their pro pack delivery rate was 9.37% (I think).
* GFC recovery at November 2009, Westpac's servicing rate was 7.61%. Pro pack delivery rate was 6.31%.
* Today, Westpac's servicing rate is 6.71%. Delivery rate is 5.81% for $250k+ or 5.76% for 500k+.
The rates quoted above are their standard published rates at that time without any extra negotiation. My records may not be 100% accurate, but they're close.
Servicing rate doesn't change with LVR, but some lenders do change it based on the discounts their offering. Whilst important in the overall calculation, there are also other factors which can play a large role. To continue using Westpac as the example:
* Westpac's servicing rate is generally lower when compaired to other lenders.
* Westpac also apply an additional 10% margin into their calculations which also affects the outcome.
What this means is that Westpac tends to have a 'sweet spot' where they work better than many lenders. It's not at the top nor at the bottom end of an individuals borrowing capacity, but somewhere in the middle. Like every lender they also have varying policies which may make them a better or worse lender to be dealing with at any given point.