Long waffling response to a long post
OK good – so now we’re generating intelligent debate and we’ll all learn.
My book “How to Build a $10 Million Property Portfolio in Just 10 Years” (or $10Min10Y as we call it) was actually the second of three books I wrote from 1997 to 1999 about investing which were supposed to be published in sequence. The first book (which was never published) was about manifestation and the philosophy of the rich. Funnily the publisher said nobody would buy it and I relish the opportunity to point out how well “The Secret” has done every time I talk with them.
The second was about how I made my “first fortune” (as the publisher liked to call it) in property and the third book was about how I made my “second fortune” in the share market. There were supposed to be called “Wealth Magic”, “Property Magic” and “Market Magic”.
Now if it had all stayed like that things would have been much easier. Instead the publisher loved the stuff in the first book about my personal life story and asked me to write more of that which I did – it took me just two weeks and they loved it and decided that should be the first book – “Wealth Magic” which was quickly changed to “From Broke to Multi-Millionaire in just 7 Years” – the headline we used on our most successful series of advertisements for our seminars back in the day.
So with little editing it was published and became an instant best seller – and has gone on to be translated into 7 languages and sell about 400,000 copies worldwide. Not as many as say “Rich Dad” but still a pretty good effort.
They wanted to publish “Property Magic” immediately and I should have let them, but I had already began changing my mind about a lot of things about property – certainly not as much as I have now but still a little.
Now I must say that everything I wrote in $10Min10Y was absolutely true for me at the time I wrote it and I have absolutely no problem with the book being in the market now because even though I have never read it, I know it is a true reflection of what happened (because I wrote it with my own hand) and many, many people love residential property and have done very well out of it. In fact I am presenting at a seminar being held this weekend and I had seven people come up to me today and thank me for writing the book. None of them has ever been to my seminars or invested a cent with me but all of them had done very well out of investing in property based on the information in my (and I presume others’) book. So that makes me feel good.
In fact I LOVE presenting at other people’s seminars – at our own these days it’s all about our performance, what went right, what went wrong, how we are going to address this, that or the other, what new services or products we have introduced and so on – all valuable and important stuff but at other people’s seminars I always get dozens of people come up to me who I have never met but may have read one or more of my books or been to a seminar with me years ago and they have lovely success stories to tell me.
Anyway before $10Min10Y was published I wanted to do a rewrite and add things that I had learnt over the ensuing years (between writing it in 1998 and it being published – if you say 2004 ok because I don’t have a copy at home to check), but I simply didn’t have the time. They added two chapters and re-jigged some of the other content but I was contracted to publish the book or return the massive advance they had given me.
It’s done quite well, about 70,000 copies sold but suffered with a similar title to another book that was published just before mine and of course that property slowed down round about the time it was published.
The third book is still waiting for the publisher to decide when or if they will publish.
Now here’s a quirky thing – if you take a look at the copyright in the front of the book you will see that it is owned by the publisher so really they can do and say whatever they like about the book including writing the jacket copy so when it says “Multi-millionaire financial adviser Peter Spann's property secrets that could make you rich..... Using clear and easy-to-understand language, Peter sets out the strategies he applies to select, acquire and grow rich from investment properties,” it should be simple to accept that I didn’t write it. Not that I have a problem with it because it is 99.99% true. It has only been more recently that I have started to distinguish between “comfortable”, “wealthy” and “rich”. I guess since I got closer to “rich” I started to understand the differences – and they are both subtle and massive.
The problem with a book, indeed even a forum, is that what is written is static. It doesn’t allow for any growth in experience, skill and mindset. Publishers very rarely create new editions of books – their investment in old technology typesetting etc make the cost of that prohibitive so many authors have work out there they would rather correct. I have not been a prolific writer which is a shame because I love it and prolificacy is the best way to keep your readers up to date with your thinking.
How many people would not say “If I only knew then what I know now I would have done things differently”?
Well, that’s true for me too.
Residential Property for me is like a first wife (not that I’ve had one but stay with me). She was beautiful, wonderful and amazing at the beginning but got more difficult as time went on, we broke up due to irreconcilable differences and now I wouldn’t go back.
It’s not that property is not a good investment for many people. It’s not that it will not build your wealth, it’s not that everything I said in $10Min10Y is not true it’s just that I, personally, have moved on.
I love shares today.
They are my second love! And I’m older, wiser, more cynical.
And I love them for a lot of reasons that are totally valid for me and may not be valid for you.
The biggest change is I saw how easy it was for people in shares to make money. How easy it was to get leverage and how easy it was to hedge a share portfolio. I started to realise that I could borrow 100% of my investment, have that fully capital protected (hedged), and generate tax advantaged cash flow from dividends that would virtually pay for the borrowing and extra yield from writing calls that made up for the rest and the surplus. So, I had a change of heart about how I could have made my “first fortune” if I had that knowledge and skill.
So today, with what I know now I would do it differently. I know it is easier to borrow to invest in shares, it is easier to protect my capital, it is easier to buy and sell, the transaction costs are much lower, there is no tax or stamp duty on my purchases, the yield is higher, more tax efficient and there are no maintenance costs, I can buy and sell them at my desk at the click of a button, there are no real estate agents, tradespeople, conveyancers, valuers, bankers and so on to deal with, no land tax to pay, they are massively more liquid, and most importantly of all no tenants!
And the very thing that frightens most people about shares is what I love – the volatility.
Property is hard to buy cheap in Australia. I think of all the more than 400 properties I have bought (and sold) over the years probably less than 2% were genuine bargains. Property prices in most markets are so scrutinised by so many people that prices invariably come to parity and you need to be in the right place at the right time to get a bargain and that’s not a reliable strategy. So a quality property is almost invariably priced accurately.
However there are often times when you can buy quality shares at bargains – like a few months ago. Beautiful blue chip shares that are money making, dividend spinning machines for a fraction of their intrinsic value and all I have to do is suffer through a little bit of volatility for the next few years.
Beautiful.
And I can use market leverage to add to my profits, protecting my positions on the upsides by buying calls and on the downside by hedging. I can increase the yield from my portfolio by writing covered calls. I could go on and on.
Now, NONE of these things may be valid arguments for you to shift from property to shares and you know what – I don’t mind one little bit. There are dozens of ways to skin a cat all that matters is the cat gets skinned!
But even my approach to investing in property has changed dramatically and if I wrote the book now it would be different.
OK, now back to Managed Funds...
Again horses for courses. I don’t think for one second I am going to seriously convert DIY Property addicts to investing in Managed Funds, but that wasn’t the question that started the thread now was it?
Amazingly there’s not a lot in Spiderman’s post that I disagree with. I will move through it but frankly I don’t have even the modicum of skill it requires to quote and requote etc so you’ll just have to bear with me.
If you want to actively get in and start a “sideline business” investing in property or shares then you will probably outperform a Managed Fund (although not always – the top managers have years of skill that means they do it better and more consistently).
However most people actually don’t want to actively control their investments – I know that sounds like an anathema to people in this forum but it’s true - it’s not a long bow to draw to say that people who want to control their own investing destiny and have a crack out outperforming would be over represented in a Forum dedicated to active investing in property – however most people just want somebody they can trust to manage their money for them, and that’s where Managed Funds are great.
We are professional funds managers – that’s how I make my money – I make no bones about it, sleep very well at night and enjoy what I do. If people want to passively invest and like our investing style then I hope we add value. Yes, most of our funds are down but as I have said all our equities based funds have outperformed their benchmarks (not a lot of funds managers can say that at the moment), and some have even produced positive results when the market has been in free fall.
As for not selling an investment generally that is true but I have always said there are three reasons to sell:
1. You need the money (converting capital to cash)
2. The money could be better invested elsewhere (opportunity cost)
3. Somebody offers you a ridiculous amount for your asset (“You only get one Alan Bond in your life time” – Kerry Packer about Bond’s purchase of the 9 network at a record (and ridiculous) price at the time)
So in my case I sold most of my property to invest in shares (pretty good idea) and my business (up and down).
Returns depend on the amount of money you put in (sometimes zero with property), the leverage you can get and the performance of the asset. Obtainable leverage is dependent on what the lender regards as the stability of the borrower and asset.
Hence Peter Spann in 2004 wrote: Using leverage can dramatically boost your return... there are risks... (but) property is a relatively stable lending environment. (p124) and This (margin calls for shares) can be very stressful for novice investors... (p123).
Yup I agree 100% - not sure I get the point?
Shares can be bought with 100% finance (most property requires a substantial deposit) and 100% capital protection, either through a product (expensive) or market means (cheaper but needs skill). And margin calls ARE very stressful for investors – I should know – we had to deal with a lot of them last year and the clients were very stressed, un-needlessly so in most cases, but that’s hard to argue when a person is facing paper losses. But we acted quickly, deleveraged most clients and got their portfolios into better positions. So again horses for courses.
Very smart people have tried to make money perform and have failed. By definition only a minority significantly outperform the market, and when considered over the 20-40 year period that you recommend that minority of 'quite a few' becomes 'very few'.
Yup – agree 100%
Hence selecting top fund managers is important if you want exceptional returns,
Yup, again agree 100%.
and even if you do find a good one there's a risk that they might drop the ball
Yup but a LOT of people “drop the ball” in their own investments and in reality even though good fund managers DO make mistakes I would suggest they would do it less often than the average investor and recover quicker.
or be bought out by someone else.
Yup and that’s why liquidity is so important – change of fund manager is an automatic sell trigger for us.
Managed funds are ideal for those who want low involvement with, and arms length from, their investments.
Yup, ideal and as I have said you may be surprised that there are a huge number of people who do want low involvement with and remain arms length from their investments.
But the problem is that fund manager selection is extremely high research/high involvement because of all the research and probably requires personal interviews that the average investor can't obtain.
Yes! And that’s where we come in because for those people who DO want to invest passively we do all that work for them – gee makes our 1% fee look positively cheap doesn’t it?!?!?! (I know, I know – give me at least a small break).
So if you need to be highly involved in choosing an exceptional managed fund, the work required is no less than direct investing in say shares or real estate. Which, apart from the arms-length aspect, negates the main benefit of managed funds.
Now this I do have to disagree with. Buying and managing a property portfolio is a BIG deal – in fact I found it practically exhausting! The key to managed fund selection is not selecting the fund perse, it’s selecting the manager. Once you’ve done that it’s almost set and forget. It may be similar to the level of research you need to do on shares but again you don’t have to do that research quarter after quarter. You just sit back, relax and let somebody else do the work for you.
Again, I know I’m selling ice to Eskimos in here but you good folk are not my target market.
(Indeed I still think you should consider some investments in funds because I still think you should diversify and I can’t see of a good reason you should not actively get engaged in property and invest in managed funds at the same time but I long ago stopped trying to push dirt up hills so let’s just settle for “you are not my target market”).
Further more there are aspects of people’s investments we can look after (Superannuation for example) whilst they still have the majority of their assets actively invested.
So all I am saying is horses for courses.
I still believe investing “could” make you rich.
But in reality I have come to realise a few things about people:
1. Most people, whist they dream of being rich won’t actually DO anything about it
2. And when they do it is invariably too late to make a big difference to the outcome
3. Most people do not invest well – they do silly things with their money, buy and sell at the wrong times and would be better off investing passively
4. No matter how much education (financial literacy) that is pushed down people’s throat it only makes a difference to about 10% of people
5. We (Investment Managers) can make a big difference to the outcome of most people’s financial future so whilst the DIY Property Fanatics (all power to you) would rather invest elsewhere live and let live because a lot of people need Investment Managers to help them invest for their future.
OK, onto monetising enterprise.
Enterprise to me is any active methodology you apply to money making. That CAN be a business but as Spiderman points out most people fail at that.
But few people, after a certain period in their life actively try to make themselves better and better employees so their income streams from working for other people are constantly growing. Few people get themselves into employee positions where their enterprise for that company is rewarded through profit share and equity participation (and both of those things are monetising enterprise).
Regardless of how you do it if you want to be rich you must earn ever increasing amount (either through enterprise or investing), and apply more and more of that to diversifying your asset base (probably through investing).
[QOUTE] To do this would require a lot of energy that very few would have exerted. It is also known that those who frequent flip flop between asset classes may be motivated too much by prevailing sentiment and may not have gained as much as those who just held.
I see investing as a long term process of gradual accumulation and provided the assets are of good quality there is no reason to chop and change (unless there's clearly superior opportunities for which you need capital). [/QUOTE]
I agree 100%. Perhaps I didn’t explain myself well. Our average annualised return on our portfolio was 24.3% for 7 years. However not all of our investments did this well, some did far worse. But some did much, much better – that’s how we get to an average.
The issue actually is what you said here...
The independent individual investor also has the freedom to make decisions that are good for them, rather than having some 'aggregate' they need to satisfy.
We put forward a portfolio of investments to our clients on the (perhaps naive) assumption that they would invest in to totality of the portfolio.
Not all of our clients took the entirety of our advice. Most of our clients invested in the whole portfolio and so got the 24.3% average return. Some decided they had the “freedom to make decisions” – perfect logic for a DIY investor and counter intuitive to what I am about to say... See, some clients only selected our worst picks and if they did that would not have been a good outcome for them. I’m guessing some only selected our best picks too but we never heard from them! My point is that if people had taken the totality of our advice they would have done very well. Maybe you either take advice or you don’t – if you’re in you’re in boots and all – if you want to DIY you should DIY and take full responsibility for those decisions.
We have literally thousands of clients so even if a tiny percentage of those have not done well it is a large number, but we try to work that through with everybody. Some are reasonable, some are not. Some take personal responsibility for their decisions, some do not. The bright side is the vast majority of our clients are excellent clients who value our relationship and are loyal, long term investors with us so they see the results and stick with us. They know we have their best interests at heart.
That’s why I changed our product offering from portfolios to Managed Fund(s) of funds. I accepted that it would take years to prove outperformance but I have always been good at the research of picking (first) shares (and later) fund managers based on Buffett’s principal that it is the manager you need to pay most attention to. So we do the heavy lifting and research for our clients - people either invest or they don’t and we live and die on our results so we don’t have the unfortunate situation where somebody thinks they have taken our advice (by investing in one or two poorly performing funds instead of our portfolio) and have got under performance by doing so.
And PB can criticise all he likes but I am proud of our out-performance in those funds against their benchmark. The industry accepts this is extraordinarily hard to do. Now I don’t accept 100% of the credit for this because the fact is we picked some of the top performing managers in the asset classes.
So really what I am trying to say is just because you don’t want to invest in Managed Funds doesn’t mean to say they are not a valid investment. And it doesn't mean to say people can’t become “comfortable” or even “wealthy” by investing in them.