spark said:
What do you think of this?
Caution is one thing Spark, but there's a difference between caution & ignorance!
I think you need to do a lot more work to understand property
'If there is any growth'....
Well look at the key indicators & trends over the last 30+ years - you can expect house prices in Sydney to double in 7-8 years (per last 4 cycles).
Let's say this cycle is extended due to the extended boom - to 10 years.
That means that over 10 years your $1.6M property increases in value to $3.2M - and keep in mind that you carefully selected this property after quite a bit of research, we're not throwing darts at a map here.
NOW not that many property investors buy one $1.6M property as their portfolio anyway - however I'll run with it because you seem fairly deadset on this level of investment.
So you make 160K profit per year from CG - PLUS your rental income of $31K (hmm - dunno how you work this one out either, but it still works) - we'll even say that rents don't change for 10 years (and that interest rates don't change to be fair). Let's say it costs you $100K on top of this per year to hold - Government subsidies half of this via negative geating & you pay $50K per year out of your pocket...
Thus your profit per annum is cut right back to an averaged $110K per year.
This is NOT taxed unless you sell the property....if you do sell you pay 50% in CGT, walking away with $800K.....
Now let's look at your Cash at Bank - oh dear, the property profit AFTER tax is quite a bit more than the $567K (10x your Citibank figure...which is using tax rates assuming it's your sole income) you get for keeping the money in the bank - assuming these interest rates remain stable as well & they don't introduce any fees in that period.
But I've forgotten compounding - that would make your bank interest over 10 years a grand total of $963K...but you have to then pay tax each year - assuming it ISN'T your sole income you only walk away with $510K at the end of ten years...hmm worse than your no-other-income figure.
Of course, you don't need to pay the $800K in CGT to the government anyway - you can simply hold the asset & drawdown on your equity - either to buy other assets or to buy a tax-free income stream, such as an annuity.
Even if you do decide to sell, you can carry losses over (assuming you're a smart investor & buying via a Hybrid Unit Trust to allow both loss carries & negative gearing) and significantly reduce the tax you pay anyway.
So in your example Spark, property is far and away the better investment.
Spark if you've got a serious intention to invest in property you'd do well to read this forum some more and invest some time reading some good property books.
Cheers,
Aceyducey