WG:
Falling into some US dollar money at that. If you had to come up with $70,000 or $100,000 + in US$ using AU assets in 5 years time and the $AUS was $0.65 (something like its historical average - let alone $.48) it would not be so much fun.
Paying as much cash as possible now makes sense (cents?) for Aussies. We want $US rent flowing our way when the dollar falls. The big finance question is 'how much are you _really_ confident of throwing on red today?' - if you have to pay that money back in a short time frame using foreign currency assets. On the 'toy' I mentioned above, tempted though I was, having a $400,000 bill blow out to anything up to $800,000 was enough to make me really question it.
Currency is really a seperate issue. I have only bought one group of properties with the dollar above $0.80c - although I have got great finance on all of those in $US. I play it both ways, sort of arbitrage I guess. I borrowed $US on my US assets when the AUD was low and pulled out enough cash to cover my original investment. Obviously, now at 1:1ish I am going the other way as much as I am able to do.
For this reason alone, there is great power in having solid assets (in US banks eyes) that you can borrow on. I still have questions about these valuations on 'renovated' properties in sub-prime areas and how much they will go up in value relative to their neighbours.
I really do wish everyone the best, but IF for example someone has a 5 year loan on a property and it doesn't have the 'predicted' stunning CG, then there will be tears. I don't like predicting captial growth - almost as much as I cant predict currency...
Falling into some US dollar money at that. If you had to come up with $70,000 or $100,000 + in US$ using AU assets in 5 years time and the $AUS was $0.65 (something like its historical average - let alone $.48) it would not be so much fun.
Paying as much cash as possible now makes sense (cents?) for Aussies. We want $US rent flowing our way when the dollar falls. The big finance question is 'how much are you _really_ confident of throwing on red today?' - if you have to pay that money back in a short time frame using foreign currency assets. On the 'toy' I mentioned above, tempted though I was, having a $400,000 bill blow out to anything up to $800,000 was enough to make me really question it.
Currency is really a seperate issue. I have only bought one group of properties with the dollar above $0.80c - although I have got great finance on all of those in $US. I play it both ways, sort of arbitrage I guess. I borrowed $US on my US assets when the AUD was low and pulled out enough cash to cover my original investment. Obviously, now at 1:1ish I am going the other way as much as I am able to do.
For this reason alone, there is great power in having solid assets (in US banks eyes) that you can borrow on. I still have questions about these valuations on 'renovated' properties in sub-prime areas and how much they will go up in value relative to their neighbours.
I really do wish everyone the best, but IF for example someone has a 5 year loan on a property and it doesn't have the 'predicted' stunning CG, then there will be tears. I don't like predicting captial growth - almost as much as I cant predict currency...