Will Property ever Boom again

As i said to oracle, you're right about the rent but that wasn't the issue at hand. I think you're moving the goal posts after being finally proven wrong.
No I wasn't proven wrong. In fact it was the other way around and don't take my word for it. The numbers speak for themselves
 
Mate, the fact that the rent pays the inflation component of the loan has nothing to do with whats happening with the loan itself.

You could put the rent in the pokies but you'd still ahve to pay the inflation component of the loan.

How were you not proven wrong?



No I wasn't proven wrong. In fact it was the other way around and don't take my word for it. The numbers speak for themselves
 
I understand both sides of the argument but is the proof in the end result.
A property worth significantly more than it cost you.

The bears conveniently leave this part out.
Even blind Freddy can see the end result but they can't....
 
Mate, the fact that the rent pays the inflation component of the loan has nothing to do with whats happening with the loan itself.

agreed. if we ignore rent then yes infltion is not your friend. but then you would have bigger problems, like how to pay the non-inflation component as well
 
Mate, the fact that the rent pays the inflation component of the loan has nothing to do with whats happening with the loan itself.

You could put the rent in the pokies but you'd still ahve to pay the inflation component of the loan.
What are you talking about?
I and most investors will choose to use the rent for the purpose it is collected for. i.e to pay the interest (which already includes the inflationary conponent so we don't have to pay it again
 
Of course. i was making the point that the rent is a sperate issue to whats happening with the loan over time and that what the banks do to cover inflation.

Ok, hypothetically, say you put the rent in the pokies but had enough money in a bank account to pay the loan interest every month.

That the tenant pays this inflation component is a given, but my point is its there and it has to be paid somehow. Thats what the initial discussion was about.

What are you talking about?
I and most investors will choose to use the rent for the purpose it is collected for. i.e to pay the interest (which already includes the inflationary conponent so we don't have to pay it again
 
Oooooh I understand now.
It's like your in a boat drifting at sea
The boat is the loan.
The oars are the rent.
And the island rescue in the distance is your house in 10 years.

Theory would say row your little but off and the closer you get the more your loan is deflated.

But some are suggesting. Stuff the island. Hit yourself in the head with the oar and jump onto the shark infested waters.
Mmmmmm. Makes sense now. :)
lol. Well it was funny to me.:eek:
 
Mate I was just highlighting the fact that interest on your loan when on variable rate even though tied to inflation it is always calculated on the constant/fixed sum of money that you borrowed.

Whereas your salary, rents and property prices are all tied to inflation and are rising at compounded rate. So given enough time to let the magic of compounding kick in your salary, rent and house price growth percent(%) can be a lot higher than the percent (%) of dollars you paid in interest for the loan.

Hope that helps.

Cheers,
Oracle.

Yeah, but you've paid all that interest. If you hadn't been paying for a house, you could have put the interest into another asset, then "the magic of compounding" would have made you rich.

It's all a question of interest rates vs. house price growth, isn't it.

Our interest rates have been low, and house price growth has been high. If it's the other way round, then you might be better putting your money in a bank.

Interest rates have been low, because the RBA doesn't target house price inflation, just rent inflation. This encourages boom-bust cycles in housing, as they are always picking an inappropriate interest rate.
 
Yeah, but you've paid all that interest. If you hadn't been paying for a house, you could have put the interest into another asset, then "the magic of compounding" would have made you rich.

True, but without paying the interest you couldn't have had the asset generating the rent (which would have paid all the interest):).

It's a bit of a circular argument, really.
 
A contrarian investor will tell you its a good time to invest, when there is blood on the streets.
There is no blood yet, just an overall pause.

Look at the above time articles, when where the two written????
Now look at the timing of the second one, has property bottomed between the time of writing that article and now???

The real contrarian time to buy will be when the D&G'ers/renters are crowing how smart they are by renting, and the recent historical statistics 'prove' their point.

Completely agree. That's what we're doing. Pay down PPoR debt while saving - cash-up and be ready.
 
Just being pedantic, but its not wages that are the limiting factor but incomes. Incomes can be derived from a lot more sources than salaried wages. That is why Sydney is a star performer in the good times as a lot of Sydney's income is derived from non-wage sources such as dividend streams, bonuses, capital gains, business earnings etc.

This is the line of thinking that got Australian housing into this mess where an average family can't afford a decent home. Most people don't have dividends and capital gains. How is an average family supposed to buy a home if they're competing against others using unfair means to leverage up? This is just a vicious circle with capital gains feeding into more capital gains as the property ponzi bubble inflates and pushes house prices out of reach. You can easily see from these charts... Property Bubble Chart Gallery ...just how overpriced Australian housing is compared to the rest of the world. A family on average wage should be able to afford an average home without relying on bonuses and phoney dividend streams and false equity that can vanish in a puff of smoke when deflation sets in! What is so "star performing" about excessive house prices. You say this like it's a good thing. Will you not be happy until every normal family in Australia is priced out?
 
This is the line of thinking that got Australian housing into this mess where an average family can't afford a decent home. ?

They can, there are plenty of properties and affordable but people don't want to start small. They want their first home to be in the blue chip suburbs.

The problem is that we can't all fit in there so whoever pays the most gets in. The rest of us can get something else in the more affordable suburbs
 
This is the line of thinking that got Australian housing into this mess where an average family can't afford a decent home. Most people don't have dividends and capital gains. How is an average family supposed to buy a home if they're competing against others using unfair means to leverage up? This is just a vicious circle with capital gains feeding into more capital gains as the property ponzi bubble inflates and pushes house prices out of reach. You can easily see from these charts... Property Bubble Chart Gallery ...just how overpriced Australian housing is compared to the rest of the world. A family on average wage should be able to afford an average home without relying on bonuses and phoney dividend streams and false equity that can vanish in a puff of smoke when deflation sets in! What is so "star performing" about excessive house prices. You say this like it's a good thing. Will you not be happy until every normal family in Australia is priced out?

Sincerely, congratulations on taking the 1st step.... DENIAL.

Once your financial education & intelligence improves you can move to the 2nd step.... ACCEPTANCE

Only then, will you be prepared to consider step 3.... ACTION

Progress through steps 1-3 will lead to the best step of all, step 4.... REWARD

I once had a bitter view of the world, felt hard done by, outsmarted, out-manoeuvred, underpayed and undervalued.... I was merely in DENIAL of how the world operates financially.

Upon ACCEPTING my lot in life, I was inspired to take ACTION. I increased my knowledge & financial intelligence (which is now a lifelong journey) and improved my value to my employer, as the first active step. I took the less ambituous, low risk, low reward path, by sticking with full time employment.

Now that I had taken ACTION to improve my financial position and increased my income by becoming more valuable to my employer, I started to wonder why everyone else didn't do it... because it really wasn't that hard.

So now you can take financial ACTION and use some of that surplus income to "take an unfair advantage" on the masses....

Upon starting to realize step 4, you become even further inspired and begin to understand for the 1st time, that there is a parallel world out there that you could never understand, because you were always in DENIAL.

If you can't bet them, join them!

I wish you you good fortune on your journey...;)
 
This is the line of thinking that got Australian housing into this mess where an average family can't afford a decent home. Most people don't have dividends and capital gains?

People can afford what ever house they want,just might not be the location they want first time in the market,but who can you blame the
Government-TheMedia-Fast-Buck R-E's-Easy Money,the list goes on forever,but at some time in life the only person to blame is yourself.
.
Plus for any investor to first have a small income stream from dividends they first of all have to take a very high risk and buy into the copmpany it always seems so easy till you put your own money out there..
 
This is the line of thinking that got Australian housing into this mess where an average family can't afford a decent home. Most people don't have dividends and capital gains. How is an average family supposed to buy a home if they're competing against others using unfair means to leverage up? This is just a vicious circle with capital gains feeding into more capital gains as the property ponzi bubble inflates and pushes house prices out of reach. You can easily see from these charts... Property Bubble Chart Gallery ...just how overpriced Australian housing is compared to the rest of the world. A family on average wage should be able to afford an average home without relying on bonuses and phoney dividend streams and false equity that can vanish in a puff of smoke when deflation sets in! What is so "star performing" about excessive house prices. You say this like it's a good thing. Will you not be happy until every normal family in Australia is priced out?

unfair means? what...they have more money than you so it's unfair?

australian house prices are oly slightly overvauled at present, certainly not the extent that your 'medians' show - which anyone with statistical nouse will tell you is useless.

how exactly is a dividend stream "phoney"? my last dividend payments were just rolled over and i bought more shares, i guess i could have just CASHED them in and got my money, therefore crystallising my profit.

it's the TT landlord special....
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you should run for Labour with that tall poppy mentality.

just for once, i'd LOVE to see a permabear's graph showing data to the END of 2011, instead of the START of 2010 - there's 2 years hidden away in there. we're a quarter-way through 2012 and no mayan prophecy has come to fruition yet.
 
unfair means? what...they have more money than you so it's unfair?

______

you should run for Labour with that tall poppy mentality.

just for once, i'd LOVE to see a permabear's graph showing data to the END of 2011, instead of the START of 2010 - there's 2 years hidden away in there. we're a quarter-way through 2012 and no mayan prophecy has come to fruition yet.


Geeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezzzzzzzzzzz Aaron

Do all sandgropers think their a year ahead of the rest of the country:eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:

Put the flak jacket on I think you'll cop it off No Credit

Cheers

Pete
 
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