unions needed a swift kick in the behind. you cant hold a country's infrastucture projects to ransom and not expect retribution.
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It was Christmas!! Of course spending went up big from November. Back then people had just come out of a year of high interest rates, doom and gloom everywhere, then Christmas. I know I was as tight as anything but kids and family always get something nice for Christmas.
I can confidently say that I spent 400% more in December last year than November and I didn't even get a bloody cent from the last package.
The reason why we are in better shape is because we just went through one of
the biggest mining booms of all time!
As for paying off the debt, the government was able to reduce much of its debt thanks to $46.1 billion worth of asset sales.
I agree with grossreal. This is a bandaid. One off payments do not fix anything and nor do lower interest rates. The first Home Buyers will be losing their jobs if they haven't already. What good is a home when you haven't got a job.
The Age of The Interest Rate is over.
This is now The Age of Unemployment. Maybe a fiercer enemy.
I also have a laugh at ploughing more money into the lower tax income earners when small and big businesses alike are feeling the pinch and buckling. Business owners such as ourselves are going to have to lay off those very people who received their silly one off payments and tax incentives so we can try and protect our own families from suffering any further losses and going under.
I wonder what Howard would have done differently? I doubt very much he'd be wasting money in handouts. People have to think of the economy as a pyramid. What starts at the top spreads out to the bottom. Without employers there are no employees.
Something about "biting the hand that feeds you" comes to mind.
Regards JO
Regards JO
It was Christmas!! Of course spending went up big from November. Back then people had just come out of a year of high interest rates, doom and gloom everywhere, then Christmas. I know I was as tight as anything but kids and family always get something nice for Christmas.
I can confidently say that I spent 400% more in December last year than November and I didn't even get a bloody cent from the last package.
Nate, I think you've misunderstood it.
December is always a big retail month. I assume what they mean is that spending in December 08 was 4% higher than in December 07. That would make sense to me.
Scott
Interestingly, 75% of people who were on variable loans and able to reduce their payments opted to not do so i.e. they kept their payments high to chip away at their principal. And of the 25% who did reduce their payments, many used the resulting cash flow to pay down CC and other debt.
Scott
Did it mean 4% jump from November or 4% jump compared to December 07?
Notwithstanding the upside surprise compared to consensus, we
see this result as somewhat disappointing. One-off fiscal payments
and 300bps in interest rate cuts gave a huge cash infusion to
households in December, estimated at close to $9.4bn in the
December month alone. Against this, the $700mn increase in
retail sales between November and December looks decidedly
tepid.
For the quarter as a whole, the December sales figures mean
nominal sales rose 1.6%qtr, up solidly on the 0.1%qtr gain in Q3.
Detailed series from last week's CPI data suggested the retail price
deflator would be up about 0.6%qtr for Q4 (down a touch on the
0.7% gain in Q3). This would imply a 1%qtr rise in real retail sales
volumes for Q4, up on the 0.1%qtr rise in Q3 and contractions in
Q2 (–0.6%qtr) and Q1 (–0.3%qtr).
More importantly the December retail sales figure points to
an even sharper run-up in household savings than previously
anticipated. Indeed, it points to a spike in the savings rate to over
8% in Q4 from basically zero in the final quarter of 2007. This
would mark the sharpest rise in saving on history back to 1960 by
a very long way – effectively double any surge in household saving
ever seen before.
While consumers have clearly been startled by the dire global
economic backdrop, this still seems extreme. We suspect that
at least some of it may be due to consumers holding back on
spending the policy boost (e.g. waiting for the January sales). But
in general it points to a household sector much more intent on
spending restraint. This is bad news for policy makers. It suggests
policy easing will continue to find it difficult to stimulate demand
even in sectors where there is a large and direct cash injection
from lower interest rates or fiscal largesse.
I dont think the govt handout really made the difference they claim it did. I believe the drops in interest rates had more to do with it.
sorry need to remove this