lets look at the numbers
whats the total number
147 I think
74 labour
3 amegoses
70 abbot
am I right
lets work on I am
I have no idea what any of that was, but your numbers are all over the shop grossy.
Lower house has 150 seats
72 Labor
72 Liberal / National
1 Green
4 independents
1 WA National
The Green and 3 of the independents side with Labor when it comes to supply and confidence motions, to form Govt with 76 seats.
Bob Katter and Tony Crook side with the coalition for supply and confidence motions, so end up with 74 seats.
Harry Jenkins ( a Labor MP) is pulled from the pot to be Speaker, and his vote doesn't count, leaving most votes of confidence ending up 75 / 74....the slimmest of margins.
If Craig Thomson go the heave ho, a by election would occur in his electorate and the Liberal candidate would romp it in - just like in the NSW state election.
That would put the Parliament looking like this ;
71 Labor
73 Liberal / National
1 Green
4 independents
1 WA National
If the independents and Green and WA National went the same way as now, it would be tied up at 75 seats a piece. I gather the sniff of death would come thru the halls however and alignments would inevitably change.
For Labor to retain control, they would need to pull Harry Jenkins off the Speakers chair and be forced to hand over the Speakership to Liberals.
That would then allow Labor to keep 75 votes, and the Liberals would sacrifice 1 vote to control the chamber via the chair.
It wouldn't work however....the Parliament would be dissolved and an election would need to be called.
Looking at the primary numbers, Labor would be obliterated at the polls, similar to what happened in NSW....it would be a sea of blue in the ABC's chamber graphic.
Anyway, until the NSW police pull their finger out and force the issue, none of that is going to happen. The independents want to retain this evenly matched Parliament as long as they can.....it'll be their only time in the sun when they have any real say. No politician will ever give that up.