No-one will forget the 'oil wars' a series of small engagements between China and Japan that grew into a conflagration that saw many countries sink to levels of barbarity that all of us had thought long forgotten.
It started long before the shooting, when Japan used financial muscle and diplomacy to ensure that the Siberian oil pipelines were linked to a new pipeline under the sea to Japan.
At the same time Japan upscaled drilling in the offshore oil fields it shared with China.
China responded by beating the drum against Japan, blocking their UN Permanent Seat, supporting a wave of anti-Japanese protests and launching a wave of billion dollar oil investments throughout Africa, the Americas and the Middle-east.
However Japan began remilitarising and with US backing made it clear that the country would not compromise it's own economic security under Chinese threats.
China was left struggling to find sufficient strategic oil reserves, cut out from the huge Russian reserves and with it's own reserves in rapid decline.
The country began upping it's efforts to purchase oil companies and fields across the globe, making significant investments in Africa and the Americas.
The US was already struggling to come to grips with the earlier actions the Chinese National Oil Company had taken to buy billion dollar US companies to secure oil resources.
The President began drafting legislation banning foreign companies from investing in US oil companies to protect it's own strategic base. The legislation was passed with a strong majority as Americans realised that their Humvees and air travel was under threat.
European nations followed suit for defensive purposes. They did not want China to look towards the strong european oil majors, or for the Americans to do the same.
This launched a wave of protectionist legislation around the globe, leaving many countries with laws proscribing or limiting direct foreign investment into oil companies and fields in fifty countries.
Economically isolated from the reserves it needed, China resorted to military pressure, launching missile tests and incursions into Japanese waters in the hope of intimidating Japan into backing down and granting China access to the Siberian fields.
However the US, still committed to it's support of Japan, shifted the resources no longer required in a politically more stable middle-east to South Korea and the Japanese islands.
China still lacked the political will and military muscle to engage America in an open conflict and was forced to backdown. This left the country with one other option to maintain economic strength and political control. China's eyes began to turn west, to the vast and poorly secured Russian oil fields.
India was in a similar situation, with the richer European nations, the US and Japan able to out-buy and out-muscle the Indian state over energy resources. Similarly cut out from investing in oil companies and fields around the world, the Indian state had seen the conflict with Pakistan cool and it's well-trained and exerienced military machine was running on idle but had not yet reduced. The country was militarily ready for further adventurism.
When the first Saudi field stuttered and died, shrinking over two years to less than 60% of peak production the world began to panic.
The shift to alternate fuels had begun but had not advanced far enough to adequately replace the needs of the west and free the declining oil resources for large developing nations who had not yet begun to changeover.
China and India found themselves pushed even closer politically as the West divided the world's remaining oil reserves amongst themselves.
These two countries had always had more similarities than differences, both were Asian nations with huge populations. Both needed strong controls to maintain internal stability and political order. and balance the separation between state and military.
Both had and were developing quickly, with waves of economic reform sweeping out across the countryside from their capitals.
Both had a love/hate relationship with the west and global political power disproportionately small compared to their military and economic might.
And, critically, both countries faced a Russian empire declining into a patchwork feudalism loosely held together from Moscow. A russian empire with some of the world's largest remaining oil reserves and a military that had been in decline for decades.
So then the shooting started.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Japan/GG02Dh01.html
Food for thought!
Cheers,
Aceyducey